Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4543

Bill Overview

Title: James M. Inhofe National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2023

Description: This bill authorizes Department of Defense (DOD) activities for FY2023 and addresses other issues. For example, the bill authorizes the procurement of various items, including Ship-to-Shore Connector craft and replenishment oiler ships; limits or prohibits the retirement or reduction of certain weapons systems, including intercontinental ballistic missiles and certain aircraft; reduces inventory requirements for certain air refueling aircraft; requires the Government Accountability Office to assess the efforts to modernize the propulsion systems of the F-35 aircraft; requires DOD to conduct a pilot program on the use of sustainable aviation fuel; prescribes end strengths for the branches of the Armed Forces; expands Selective Service registration requirements, which currently apply only to qualifying male citizens, to cover all qualifying citizens; prohibits inducting any person into the Armed Forces under certain authorities without an act of Congress; requires the Army to establish sex-neutral fitness standards for combat military occupational specialties that are higher than those for noncombat specialties; requires DOD to reissue and update certain instructions relating to the confidentiality of servicemembers receiving mental health care; establishes regional centers of excellence for providing military specialty care; requires DOD to develop and issue implementing guidance for risk management for DOD pharmaceutical materiel supply chains; extends the authorities for certain activities in Iraq and Syria, including assistance to counter the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria; and prohibits using funds authorized by this bill for DOD participation in Saudi Arabia's offensive operations against the Houthis in Yemen unless specifically authorized by statute.

Sponsors: Sen. Reed, Jack [D-RI]

Target Audience

Population: individuals associated with the Department of Defense and their families, eligible civilians for Selective Service, and employees in the defense industry

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Defense contractor (Virginia)

Age: 36 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm glad to see continued investment in shipbuilding, it means job security for my department.
  • I worry about budget cuts in other areas but overall this bill seems beneficial for my work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

University student (California)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm really against expanding the Selective Service, it's an unnecessary burden on citizens.
  • Using sustainable aviation fuel is a good step for the environment, though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Active duty military (Texas)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • New fitness standards are necessary but may be too strict for some.
  • Mental health confidentiality updates are a relief.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired military officer (Florida)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Protecting veteran programs is crucial, and I support measures in this bill.
  • Expansion of Selective Service isn't an immediate concern for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Civil rights activist (New York)

Age: 22 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Expanding Selective Service is a huge overreach.
  • This only adds to the worries for marginalized communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 4

Pilot for Air Mobility Command (Georgia)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Modernizing propulsion systems is overdue, it should improve flight performance.
  • The inventory reduction might mean more efficient use of resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Policy Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The bill is comprehensive but pushing Selective Service registration might be controversial.
  • I support the regional centers for specialty care—it's crucial for servicemembers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Factory worker in defense industry (Kentucky)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Retaining missile systems means job security for us.
  • I am worried about budget cuts affecting other areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 5 3

Active duty naval officer (Hawaii)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's important to not let weapon systems retire prematurely given the global climate.
  • I support efforts to maintain readiness despite challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Defense supplier (Texas)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope the policy ensures consistent income through steady orders.
  • Inflation and economic changes make it tough for small suppliers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $85000000000 (Low: $82000000000, High: $90000000000)

Year 2: $86500000000 (Low: $83000000000, High: $92000000000)

Year 3: $88000000000 (Low: $85000000000, High: $94000000000)

Year 5: $91000000000 (Low: $88000000000, High: $97000000000)

Year 10: $95000000000 (Low: $92000000000, High: $101000000000)

Year 100: $120000000000 (Low: $115000000000, High: $125000000000)

Key Considerations