Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4518

Bill Overview

Title: Solving the Border Crisis Act

Description: This bill addresses immigration and border security issues. For example, the bill (1) requires the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to resume all activities related to the construction of a border wall system along the U.S.-Mexico border that were planned or underway prior to January 20, 2021; (2) imposes limits on ending the policy commonly known as Title 42, a policy that authorizes DHS to suspend the entry of certain non-U.S. nationals or imports on public health grounds; and (3) requires DHS to ensure certain staffing levels for various agencies involved with immigration enforcement.

Sponsors: Sen. Risch, James E. [R-ID]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals potentially affected by U.S. immigration and border security policies

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (El Paso, Texas)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could lead to more resources and job security for my role.
  • It feels like a return to stronger enforcement days, which has its ups and downs depending on management of resources and community relations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Immigration Lawyer (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The continuation of Title 42 and other restrictions will make it more challenging to assist my clients.
  • I expect my workload to increase as clients need more legal support to overcome new barriers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 3 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 5 5

Software Developer (New York, New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see this policy affecting my day-to-day life.
  • I am more concerned about broader social and economic policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Teacher (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The wall construction might cause some noise and disruption due to increased construction traffic.
  • I feel safer with more security but also worried about how my community is changing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Construction Worker (San Diego, California)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The border wall means more job opportunities in the construction sector for someone like me.
  • It's a steady source of income, although socially it might be contentious.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

NGO Worker (McAllen, Texas)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our work will become more difficult as policy barriers increase.
  • The resource strain is going to be significant, and many refugees may not find the support they need.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 2 4
Year 5 2 4
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 4 4

Retired Engineer (Columbus, Ohio)

Age: 67 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm interested in border policies due to national security concerns, but it doesn't affect me personally day-to-day.
  • I think it's important to manage migration effectively, but I'm unsure about wall construction costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Restaurant Owner (Brownsville, Texas)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on both local and tourist business; the policy might reduce cross-border traffic impacting my revenue.
  • Security appears to be tight, but it's having mixed effects on my business environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

University Student (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy affects my field so I find it relevant though not directly impactful at this stage of my life.
  • It's a learning opportunity in understanding real-world legal applications.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Freight Truck Driver (New Orleans, Louisiana)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Tighter border controls can lead to delays in transporting goods, affecting my income.
  • From a logistics standpoint, any disruption in border crossing timelines can be costly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $4000000000 (Low: $3000000000, High: $5000000000)

Year 2: $4200000000 (Low: $3200000000, High: $5200000000)

Year 3: $4400000000 (Low: $3400000000, High: $5400000000)

Year 5: $4800000000 (Low: $3800000000, High: $5800000000)

Year 10: $5600000000 (Low: $4600000000, High: $6600000000)

Year 100: $7000000000 (Low: $6000000000, High: $8000000000)

Key Considerations