Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4506

Bill Overview

Title: Upholding Human Rights Abroad Act

Description: This bill prohibits, with some exceptions, the Department of Defense (DOD) from providing certain support to forces (e.g., foreign forces or irregular forces) engaged in U.S. special operations if DOD has credible information that the force in question has committed a gross violation of human rights.

Sponsors: Sen. Van Hollen, Chris [D-MD]

Target Audience

Population: People involved with or affected by foreign forces receiving U.S. defense support

Estimated Size: 10000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

U.S. Special Operations Forces Member (Tampa, FL)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might limit our flexibility in operations.
  • While human rights are crucial, decisions may complicate missions.
  • I believe some restrictions could lead to safer practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

Senior Analyst, Department of Defense (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act aligns with our ethical guidelines.
  • It's a step forward in ensuring our international partners uphold human rights.
  • The policy supports long-term strategic stability despite potential short-term challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 4

Human Rights Advocate (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a necessary measure toward global human rights protections.
  • I'm hopeful this can influence broader policy changes internationally.
  • It may lead to initial resistance but is a sound long-term policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Senior Foreign Policy Advisor (New York, NY)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This legislation is crucial for long-term strategic partnerships globally.
  • My concern lies in the timely assessment of credible violations, which can delay critical decisions.
  • Operational momentum might initially be hampered, but ethics are worth the investment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 4

University Professor, International Relations (Chicago, IL)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aims to bridge the gap between diplomacy and defense.
  • It may challenge traditional military relationships but enhances ethical standards.
  • The decision benefits academic discourse and practical policy models alike.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Journalist for Foreign Affairs (Boston, MA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The Act shows a new direction in U.S. defense policies.
  • Reporting on defense scandals could decrease, signaling a positive move.
  • Challenges in maintaining operational success may arise, yet ethics should lead.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired Military Personnel (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy supports what we always hoped for: a stronger ethical standing.
  • It's a morale booster for those of us who felt trapped by prior directives.
  • Younger troops might initially resist the limitations but will adjust.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Graduate Student in Political Science (Austin, TX)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this act encouraging my peers and me towards ethical policy careers.
  • It's a small step towards balancing power and morality in global affairs.
  • The impact on study materials and future work could be significant.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Lobbyist for Defense Contractor (Seattle, WA)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy introduces uncertainties in contract security.
  • Might lead to restructuring of defense relationships which will affect our business.
  • We're preparing strategies to adapt to new requirements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Defense Policy Consultant (Columbus, OH)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy integrates key human rights values into actionable defense strategies.
  • Aligning defense policies with ethical standards strengthens our global position.
  • Operational challenges require careful planning but are ultimately beneficial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 8 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $53000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $62000000)

Year 3: $56000000 (Low: $45000000, High: $65000000)

Year 5: $59000000 (Low: $48000000, High: $68000000)

Year 10: $65000000 (Low: $51000000, High: $75000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $120000000)

Key Considerations