Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4501

Bill Overview

Title: Concealed Carry Reciprocity Act

Description: This bill establishes a federal statutory framework to regulate the carry or possession of concealed firearms across state lines. Specifically, an individual who is eligible to carry a concealed firearm in one state may carry or possess a concealed handgun (other than a machine gun or destructive device) in another state that allows its residents to carry concealed firearms. It sets forth requirements for the lawful concealed carry across state lines. The bill preempts most state and local laws related to concealed carry and establishes a private right of action for a person adversely affected by interference with a concealed-carry right established by this bill.

Sponsors: Sen. Daines, Steve [R-MT]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals who carry concealed firearms

Estimated Size: 24000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

truck driver (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think having a consistent rule across states helps me as I drive a lot.
  • It's a relief not to worry about each state's different regulations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

nurse (Illinois)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about more guns crossing state lines with less oversight.
  • This could make my workplace and community feel less safe.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

retired police officer (New York)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Local knowledge is crucial for safety; local discretion in gun laws shouldn't be diluted.
  • This bill may lead to conflicts with state laws I'm more comfortable with.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

software engineer (Georgia)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Not sure how this might affect me directly since I travel rarely.
  • Could be useful in rare trips to other states for work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

student (California)

Age: 24 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel less safe knowing more people can legally carry firearms across state borders.
  • This policy could undermine our state laws designed for public safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 4
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

restaurant owner (Florida)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy aligns with our local beliefs about gun rights.
  • It'll make my travels within the region more straightforward.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

teacher (Virginia)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Safety of children could be compromised with increased firearm mobility.
  • Could pose challenges if more firearms are on campuses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

park ranger (Colorado)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • There's a balance needed between open access and control.
  • Would appreciate clear guidelines on how the policy should be implemented locally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

lawyer (Arizona)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Legal clarity for cross-state gun owners could reduce lawsuits that currently arise.
  • Main concern is how individual states handle conflicting laws.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

college student (Ohio)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could create inconsistencies with what I've experienced locally.
  • I'm interested in the debate over federal versus state rights.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 3: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 5: $30000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $40000000)

Year 10: $35000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $45000000)

Year 100: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Key Considerations