Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4487

Bill Overview

Title: Election Mail Act

Description: This bill addresses the delivery and processing of election mail. Among other provisions, the bill requires same-day processing of mail-in ballots by the U.S. Postal Service, establishes certain standards for mail-in ballots, and requires states to count mail-in ballots that are postmarked by election day and arrive within seven days after the election.

Sponsors: Sen. Klobuchar, Amy [D-MN]

Target Audience

Population: Registered voters using mail-in ballots and relevant election administrations

Estimated Size: 70000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Retired teacher (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 65 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on mail-in ballots as I can't stand in long lines.
  • This policy gives me confidence my vote will be counted even with mail delays.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

IT specialist (Austin, Texas)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Streamlined process can increase my trust in mail voting.
  • I am indifferent otherwise, as usual voting at polls is convenient for me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Postal worker (Charlotte, North Carolina)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could mean more stress due to increased workload.
  • However, it ensures job security and importance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Election official (Miami, Florida)

Age: 53 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy requires more coordination but it could improve efficiency.
  • It provides more comprehensive guidelines for our operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Student (San Francisco, California)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a relief to know my mail-in ballot will count if delayed.
  • Engaging in my home country's politics can be challenging.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Factory worker (Cleveland, Ohio)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I often work overtime and can't always make it to the polls.
  • Knowing my mail ballot will be counted no matter what is comforting.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

HR Manager (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 49 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Mail-in voting is a crucial option for many working parents.
  • This policy reinforces the reliability of the voting process.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Political Analyst (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could address some inconsistencies I've observed in mail-in voting data.
  • It's important for trust in the democratic process.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Manhattan, New York)

Age: 75 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about my ballot arriving on time.
  • This policy would relieve some anxiety regarding my vote being counted.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Graduate student (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy makes mail-in voting an option for everyone more transparently.
  • Voting should be as accessible as possible.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $80000000 (Low: $60000000, High: $100000000)

Year 2: $82000000 (Low: $61000000, High: $102000000)

Year 3: $84000000 (Low: $62000000, High: $104000000)

Year 5: $88000000 (Low: $65000000, High: $110000000)

Year 10: $96000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $120000000)

Year 100: $150000000 (Low: $110000000, High: $200000000)

Key Considerations