Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4483

Bill Overview

Title: Debt Cancellation Accountability Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits the Department of Education from providing class-based loan forgiveness unless funds have been specifically requested and appropriated for this purpose. Class-based loan forgiveness refers to the cancellation, waiver, assumption, discharge, reduction, or other forgiveness of any obligation due on Federal Family Education Loans, Federal Direct Loans, or Federal Perkins Loans (1) on a class-wide basis and for a class of two or more loan borrowers, and (2) that totals more than $1 million. The prohibition does not apply to targeted loan forgiveness programs established under the Higher Education Act of 1965 and in effect before the enactment of this bill if the loan forgiveness is granted for a single borrower on a case-by-case basis.

Sponsors: Sen. Scott, Rick [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: Student loan borrowers with federal loans

Estimated Size: 43000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Graphic Designer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I was hoping for some relief based on talks about class-based forgiveness, but I'm not holding my breath now.
  • This policy doesn't seem like it will change my situation immediately, but I feel like it's blocking potential help.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 7

Public School Teacher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I wasn't expecting any broad forgiveness because I've been focused on PSLF which seems to remain unaffected.
  • The policy is a bit worrying if it cuts off other options, but my main plan is still intact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Entrepreneur (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have managed the debt over the years without expecting any sort of bailout.
  • This policy doesn't seem to change much for me, it's just status quo.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 4 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Tech Support Specialist (Austin, TX)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any promise of class-based forgiveness felt like a far-off hope, so this policy is just another gripping reality.
  • I'm disappointed there's a step away from broader relief options.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 7

Nurse (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm nearing retirement, so changes like this could theoretically affect my finances, but I'm not sure how directly.
  • Retirement is my focus, less on changes around the loans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Sales Associate (Columbus, OH)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I was really hoping for some broad relief post-graduation; now, it seems more distant.
  • I feel like my path forward will have to involve gradual repayments without any bigger aid.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Administrative Assistant (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Financially, it's a struggle, and knowing broad relief is unlikely makes it tougher.
  • I feel like I have to manage this substantial debt completely alone now.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 5
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Software Engineer (Minneapolis, MN)

Age: 43 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Given my current salary, loan forgiveness seemed like a nice-to-have rather than a need.
  • The policy is unlikely to affect my lifestyle or plans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Freelance Writer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My main focus is on immediate income, so I didn't count too much on student loan forgiveness.
  • This policy doesn't change my prospects a lot.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 7

Marketing Manager (Miami, FL)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm aware things like class-based forgiveness are complex and often political.
  • The fact this gets checked makes it more certain I'll continue to pay each dollar of my loans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations