Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4470

Bill Overview

Title: Montana Sportsmen Conservation Act

Description: This bill releases the Middle Fork Judith, Hoodoo Mountain, and Wales Creek wilderness study areas from further study for wilderness designation.

Sponsors: Sen. Daines, Steve [R-MT]

Target Audience

Population: People interested or engaged in outdoor activities, conservation, and business in Montana wilderness areas

Estimated Size: 800000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Wildlife Biologist (Bozeman, Montana)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about the loss of protections for these wilderness areas.
  • These regions are crucial for biodiversity and my research.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 5 8
Year 20 5 8

Small Business Owner - Outdoor Equipment (Missoula, Montana)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This can increase the number of visitors and boost my business.
  • I'm concerned about the long-term environmental impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Environmental Activist (Helena, Montana)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm very disappointed, this is a step back for conservation.
  • The released areas might suffer from uncontrolled activities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 2 6

Outdoor Guide (Kalispell, Montana)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Could attract more tourists, but worried about sustainable practices.
  • Might need to change how I operate tours.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 6

School Teacher (Butte, Montana)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Outdoor education is vital, worried areas will be less protected.
  • I hope this doesn't limit our options for outdoor education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Construction Worker (Billings, Montana)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't usually visit these areas, so I don't feel much impact.
  • I guess it's good if more people get to use the areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired (Great Falls, Montana)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned about disturbance of natural habitats.
  • Hope the areas remain as they were for wildlife.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 5 8

Graduate Student in Ecology (Whitefish, Montana)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy change could hamper my research plans.
  • Need wilderness preservation for long-term studies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 6
Year 20 3 6

Truck Driver (Glendive, Montana)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Not directly affected, but hopes it brings economic benefits.
  • Unsure of the environmental implications.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Park Ranger (Browning, Montana)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Need more details on how it affects my role and duties.
  • Concerned about management resources after the change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5100000 (Low: $3060000, High: $7140000)

Year 3: $5202000 (Low: $3121200, High: $7282800)

Year 5: $5418164 (Low: $3250898, High: $7585428)

Year 10: $5735577 (Low: $3441346, High: $8029807)

Year 100: $9300000 (Low: $5580000, High: $13020000)

Key Considerations