Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4436

Bill Overview

Title: Advanced Border Coordination Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Homeland Security to establish at least two Joint Operations Centers along the U.S.-Mexico border. The centers shall provide centralized operations hubs for (1) coordinating operations between federal, state, local, and tribal agencies as needed; and (2) coordinating and supporting border operations, including detecting criminal activity, including activity related to transnational criminal organizations and illegal border crossings.

Sponsors: Sen. Cortez Masto, Catherine [D-NV]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals living in border communities and transnational networks near the U.S.-Mexico border

Estimated Size: 12000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Agent (El Paso, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy should improve our coordination and efficiency at the border, leading to fewer illegal crossings.
  • I believe this will ultimately make the community safer and help us do our jobs better.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Small business owner (San Diego, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might impact the ease of cross-border trade, which is crucial for our logistics operations.
  • Increased security might slow down our supply chain but it could also reduce the risks associated with illegal activities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Immigration Attorney (Nogales, AZ)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will make it harder for my clients to navigate the legal system and might result in more deportations.
  • Stronger coordination around border security may increase fear within immigrant communities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 3 5
Year 20 3 4

Retired law enforcement (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm in favor of stronger border security measures, it should help reduce crime in our region.
  • While it's a complex issue, coordinated efforts can provide peace of mind for residents.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

College student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased militarization of the border worries me regarding human rights issues.
  • As someone with family in Mexico, I fear this might make visiting them more complicated.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 4

School teacher (Brownsville, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about how this policy might further strain US-Mexico relations, impacting our border community.
  • While security might improve, I'm concerned about the psychological impact on my students who have family across the border.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 5 5

Local shop owner (Tucson, AZ)

Age: 59 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Strengthening border operations might deter criminal activity which could help local businesses like mine by making our region more attractive to tourists.
  • I hope it doesn't discourage cross-border shoppers who often help keep our businesses afloat.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Healthcare worker (McAllen, TX)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased border security might lead to stress and anxiety among my patients, affecting their health.
  • I am concerned about the wellbeing of my community, where many undocumented individuals reside.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Retired agricultural worker (Las Cruces, NM)

Age: 66 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policymakers should understand how these laws affect us who live here, making family gatherings and daily life harder due to increased security scrutiny.
  • I expect increasing enforcement doesn't help in strengthening community ties across the border.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 4 4
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 3 4

Community organizer (Laredo, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy directly counters our mission to support immigrant communities in need.
  • It puts considerable pressure on individuals trying to seek a better life across the border.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 3 4
Year 20 3 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $95000000 (Low: $85000000, High: $115000000)

Year 2: $75000000 (Low: $65000000, High: $90000000)

Year 3: $75000000 (Low: $65000000, High: $90000000)

Year 5: $76000000 (Low: $66000000, High: $92000000)

Year 10: $78000000 (Low: $68000000, High: $95000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations