Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4435

Bill Overview

Title: FIND Act

Description: This bill prohibits the federal government from entering into contracts with an entity that discriminates against firearm trade associations or businesses that deal in firearms, ammunition, or related products. Specifically, the bill requires a federal agency to include in each contract for the procurement of goods or services awarded by the agency a clause requiring the prime contractor to certify that it (1) has no policy, practice, guidance, or directive that discriminates against a firearm entity or firearm trade association; and (2) will not adopt a policy, practice, guidance, or directive that discriminates against a firearm entity or firearm trade association during the term of the contract. The bill establishes (1) a similar requirement with respect to subcontracts, and (2) penalties for violations. The bill makes such prohibition inapplicable to a contract for the procurement of goods or services that is a sole-source contract.

Sponsors: Sen. Daines, Steve [R-MT]

Target Audience

Population: Businesses and individuals in the firearm industry

Estimated Size: 400000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Firearm Manufacturer (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this policy will open up more federal contracting opportunities for businesses like mine.
  • It reassures me that our partnerships won't be unfairly jeopardized due to policies of other companies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

Government Contractor (California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned that the policy could impact contract negotiations, possibly leading to conflicts of interest.
  • Additional compliance checks might increase administrative workload for contractors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Firearm Distributor (Florida)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies that prevent discrimination against firearm companies will help maintain long-term business stability.
  • This bill could potentially help us in expanding our client base.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Retail Owner (New York)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My retail business does not engage directly in federal contracts, so the immediate impact might be minimal.
  • However, the policy could indirectly ensure a steady supply from manufacturers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Firearm Trade Association Representative (Colorado)

Age: 32 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a positive step for protecting the interests of our members.
  • Ensuring non-discrimination in contracts enhances industry confidence.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Economic Analyst (Illinois)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I don't work in the industry, I predict economic implications beyond direct firearm businesses.
  • There could be increased scrutiny on federal contracts as a result, pulling resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Software Developer (Virginia)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am concerned about more complexities in contractor compliance software.
  • This might mean more demand for services, but also more pressure on existing projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Corporate Lawyer (Ohio)

Age: 46 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this policy generating more work for legal consultancies, especially around contract compliance.
  • There might be an uptick in legal conflicts around contract breaches or discrimination claims.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Firearm Enthusiast (Montana)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a hobbyist, my concern is mainly on how this might affect the availability and price of firearms for sport.
  • I don't foresee immediate changes in my access to sporting firearms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Lobbyist (Washington)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This legislation aligns with our advocacy for nondiscriminatory practices against firearm-related businesses.
  • Our work might see improved legal grounding and support.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $15500000 (Low: $11000000, High: $21000000)

Year 3: $16000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $22000000)

Year 5: $17000000 (Low: $13000000, High: $23000000)

Year 10: $18000000 (Low: $14000000, High: $24000000)

Year 100: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Key Considerations