Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4416

Bill Overview

Title: Educational Choice for Children Act

Description: This bill allows individuals and corporations a new tax credit after 2022 for charitable contributions to tax-exempt organizations that provide scholarships to elementary and secondary school students. Such students must be members of a household with incomes not greater 300% of the area median gross income and be eligible to enroll in a public elementary or secondary school. The bill excludes from the gross income of taxpayer dependents any scholarship amount for the elementary or secondary education expenses of eligible students. It also prohibits governmental control over scholarship granting organizations.

Sponsors: Sen. Cassidy, Bill [R-LA]

Target Audience

Population: School-aged children eligible for scholarship programs based on family income

Estimated Size: 25000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

High school teacher (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy feels like it could relieve some financial stress.
  • I'm hopeful about more educational choices for my kids.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Software developer (Austin, TX)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I like the idea of more control over where charitable contributions go.
  • I don't know how much it will help my family personally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired (Boise, ID)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy seems to address some financial relief.
  • It doesn't directly impact me unless I consider my grandchildren.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Non-profit manager (Seattle, WA)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a great incentive for more donations to educational causes.
  • It doesn't affect me directly but enhances our initiative's impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Construction worker (Newark, NJ)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about the quality of education my kids are getting.
  • This bill could offer better opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Accountant (Miami, FL)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a good way to influence educational outcomes indirectly through tax decisions.
  • I might see some benefit if scholarships are available.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Farmer (Rural Kentucky)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy might finally give my kids a shot at better education.
  • I hope it gets implemented soon.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 8 5

Small business owner (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If this means my contributions go farther, then it's a win.
  • Our family could use the scholarship money.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Taxi driver (Chicago, IL)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could provide better access and opportunities for my child.
  • I hope it addresses special needs considerations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Public school principal (New Orleans, LA)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could significantly enhance educational access.
  • Might not directly impact my family but provides a tool for change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $2000000000 (Low: $1500000000, High: $2500000000)

Year 2: $2200000000 (Low: $1700000000, High: $2700000000)

Year 3: $2400000000 (Low: $1800000000, High: $3000000000)

Year 5: $2600000000 (Low: $2000000000, High: $3200000000)

Year 10: $3200000000 (Low: $2500000000, High: $3500000000)

Year 100: $5000000000 (Low: $4000000000, High: $6000000000)

Key Considerations