Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4400

Bill Overview

Title: College Savings Recovery Act.

Description: This bill sets forth a special tax rule allowing a rollover to a Roth Individual Retirement Account (Roth IRA) from a long-term qualified tuition program (i.e., a 529 qualified tuition program) without penalty.

Sponsors: Sen. Burr, Richard [R-NC]

Target Audience

Population: People with 529 plan accounts

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Financial Planner (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is great for flexibility. Now I can use my 529 savings for retirement without penalties.
  • It supports families with changing educational plans dramatically.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The ability to roll over to a Roth IRA makes my parents' gift more valuable for retirement.
  • Without kids, this policy allows me to redirect those funds effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

High School Teacher (Austin, TX)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This helps families like mine, who thought their child would attend college.
  • There’s a peace of mind knowing that unused funds can now grow for retirement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired (Columbus, OH)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It’s a smart move, especially for us retired folks looking to stretch savings.
  • I'd rather not be penalized for transferring savings set for my grandkids.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Chef (Denver, CO)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a safety net, just in case my child doesn't use all the funds.
  • It offers a new angle to plan for my future needs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Entrepreneur (Miami, FL)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It doesn’t impact me much as I don’t follow traditional savings path.
  • Having the option is nice, but my focus remains on my business investments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Graduate Student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone without kids, it might be useful in the future if my plans shift.
  • Offers more flexibility in planning long term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Doctor (Chicago, IL)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Keeping any left-over funds for retirement without penalty is a smart move.
  • As a higher earner, using Roth is appealing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Content Creator (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While it's a clever option, my focus is not on 529 plans.
  • The knowledge it's there is reassuring, however for now it's irrelevant.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Journalist (Boston, MA)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Glad to have an alternative use for my savings meant for college.
  • I won't need to worry about losing money if my child’s plans change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1000000000 (Low: $500000000, High: $1500000000)

Year 2: $1100000000 (Low: $550000000, High: $1600000000)

Year 3: $1200000000 (Low: $600000000, High: $1700000000)

Year 5: $1300000000 (Low: $650000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 10: $1500000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 100: $5000000000 (Low: $3000000000, High: $7000000000)

Key Considerations