Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4380

Bill Overview

Title: Military Vehicle Fleet Electrification Act

Description: This bill requires that not less than 75% of the total number of contracted non-tactical vehicles purchased, leased by, or for use of the Department of Defense (DOD) must be electric or zero emission vehicles (or a federally authorized alternative) and use a charging connector type that meets applicable industry accepted standards for interoperability and safety. The bill also authorizes DOD to furnish electric vehicle charging stations at a commissary store or MWR retail facility (i.e., exchange stores and other revenue-generating facilities operated by nonappropriated fund activities of DOD) for commercial use by individuals authorized to access such facilities.

Sponsors: Sen. Warren, Elizabeth [D-MA]

Target Audience

Population: People associated with or employed by the Department of Defense and contractors

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

DOD Civilian Employee (Texas)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy is a positive change as it will modernize our fleet and reduce emissions. However, I'm concerned about how fast we can adjust to these new technologies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Vehicle Manufacturer (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy presents a significant opportunity for growth, but it also demands rapid adaptation in our production processes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 9

Active Duty Military Personnel (Virginia)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm excited about the charging stations at the commissary. It'll make my life easier since I already use an electric vehicle.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Department of Defense Vendor (Florida)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is likely to create more competition and I worry about my business's ability to meet new specifications.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Policy Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a necessary move to reduce the carbon footprint of our military's operations and aligns with broader environmental goals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Tech Start-up Entrepreneur (New York)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This shift could open new markets and customers for my business, but competition will be tough.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 8

Electric Vehicle Advocate (Colorado)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm thrilled. This is the kind of leadership I expect in transitioning to sustainable practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

DOD Budget Analyst (Georgia)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The budget will be a challenge, but it could lead to long-term cost savings and efficiency for the fleet.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Military Spouse (Illinois)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm skeptical about how effective these new vehicles will be, especially if the infrastructure isn't there yet.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Research Scientist (Nevada)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This transition is scientifically sound but might face hurdles in implementation due to size and scale of change.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1000000000 (Low: $800000000, High: $1200000000)

Year 2: $950000000 (Low: $750000000, High: $1150000000)

Year 3: $900000000 (Low: $700000000, High: $1100000000)

Year 5: $850000000 (Low: $650000000, High: $1050000000)

Year 10: $800000000 (Low: $600000000, High: $1000000000)

Year 100: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $700000000)

Key Considerations