Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4350

Bill Overview

Title: Emergency Infant Formula Act

Description: This bill addresses the shortage of infant formula in the United States, including by authorizing the President to take certain actions to expedite the importation of such formula. Specifically, the bill authorizes the President to declare through an executive order that a shortage of infant formula exists in the United States. The President may use authorities provided under the Defense Production Act of 1950 in the production of infant formula. Additionally, the President may authorize the importation, distribution, and sale of any covered infant formula if the applicable brand, manufacturer, manufacturing plant, or the specific infant formula product is included in the executive order. Covered infant formula generally refers to any infant formula that is lawfully marketed in the European Union, Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom, or any country the President determines has sufficient health and safety standards with respect to infant formula. The bill exempts imported infant formula from U.S. labeling requirements. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) must require retailers of imported infant formula to place a label on the product indicating it has not been approved by the FDA. The bill also authorizes the President to reduce or suspend any duties on the importation of covered infant formula or articles used in the production of infant formula. U.S. Customs and Border Protection must give the highest priority and take steps as necessary to expedite the processing of all entries of covered infant formula and articles used in the production of infant formula.

Sponsors: Sen. Gillibrand, Kirsten E. [D-NY]

Target Audience

Population: Infants requiring infant formula worldwide and their caregivers

Estimated Size: 7600000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

IT Specialist (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's been tough finding the right formula due to constant out-of-stock issues.
  • I hope this means I don't have to worry about my baby's nutrition as much with a more stable supply.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 5
Year 2 9 4
Year 3 9 4
Year 5 8 3
Year 10 7 2
Year 20 5 2

Retail Store Manager (Dallas, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a store manager, availability issues affect not just my customers but my sales figures.
  • I believe this policy could help streamline restocking processes and meet customer demand.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Stay-at-home parent (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Every shopping trip is a gamble on whether I can get the formula my twins need.
  • This policy sounds like it might prioritize the availability of specialized formulas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 4
Year 2 9 3
Year 3 9 3
Year 5 8 2
Year 10 7 2
Year 20 6 1

Pediatrician (Chicago, IL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I often see stress in parents unable to find their infants' formula brands.
  • If this policy ensures a regular supply, it will greatly ease parents' concerns and help in providing reliable advice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Farmer (Rural Kentucky)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Finding formula has been difficult since we live far from major stores.
  • I hope the policy considers distribution to rural areas, not just cities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 2

Healthcare provider (Miami, FL)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our clinic sees a lot of low-income families struggling to afford formula.
  • Perhaps the policy could help lower prices if not just availability is addressed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

CEO of a Formula Production Company (Seattle, WA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While we welcome the competition, I hope safety standards remain high for imported products.
  • We might need to rethink our production and marketing strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 4 6

Lactation Consultant (Detroit, MI)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Many moms I work with turn to formula when they can't breastfeed enough.
  • The policy might save stress if it also supports alternative feeding methods instead of just importation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 9 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Policy Analyst (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 44 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy expands the reach of foreign formulas which might bridge gaps in supply.
  • It'll be crucial to monitor effects on trade relations and domestic producers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Daycare Worker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Shortage times heighten stress for parents dropping off infants.
  • If formula reliability improves, it reduces parental anxiety and makes day-to-day operations smoother.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $100000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $150000000)

Year 2: $110000000 (Low: $80000000, High: $160000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations