Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4338

Bill Overview

Title: Increasing Transparency in Generic Drug Applications Act

Description: This bill requires the Food and Drug Administration to inform generic drug applicants, upon request or during review, whether the drug is qualitatively and quantitatively the same as the listed brand-name drug (and if not, the reasons why).

Sponsors: Sen. Hassan, Margaret Wood [D-NH]

Target Audience

Population: Users of generic drugs

Estimated Size: 270000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Generic Drug Manufacturer (New Jersey)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy will help us with faster approvals and potentially get more drugs to market.
  • Currently, we lose time rectifying errors we could have easily avoided with more upfront transparency from the FDA.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Pharmacist (California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More generic availability could mean better prices and choices for my customers.
  • Transparency will likely bring a slight decrease in medication costs over time.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Florida)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If generics become more affordable, it could really help my fixed income situation.
  • But I'm skeptical about how quickly anything will change for prices at the consumer level.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Healthcare Policy Analyst (Texas)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a step forward for manufacturer transparency, could slightly lower drug costs eventually, but won't revolutionize the market overnight.
  • We may see some market dynamics shifts if generic drugs become more competitive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Brand-name Drug Representative (New York)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might increase competition slightly, but brand names have their stronghold on market trust.
  • I'm concerned about potential revenue impacts on some lesser-known brand-name drugs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Medical Resident (Illinois)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Potentially increased access to affordable generics is a positive.
  • I hope this transparency translates into actual benefits for patients' out-of-pocket costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Retired Veteran (Ohio)

Age: 70 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The VA does a good job already, but any additional help in medication pricing or availability is a good thing.
  • Hope this can streamline and reduce costs within the system.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Government Healthcare Consultant (Washington)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increased transparency should reduce the time manufacturers spend on FDA applications.
  • It's potentially a big win for healthcare costs if the savings are passed to consumers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Small Business Owner (Georgia)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More generics could mean increased competition but also more sales if customers can save money.
  • Hopeful this policy increases our ability to stock a wider variety of generics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Primary Care Physician (Michigan)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Anything that improves medication affordability is beneficial.
  • Hope it leads to more competitive generic pricing for my patients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)

Year 2: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)

Year 3: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)

Year 5: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)

Year 10: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)

Year 100: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)

Key Considerations