Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4328

Bill Overview

Title: Fire Suppression Improvement Act

Description: This bill sets the federal cost share of fire management assistance at 75% of the eligible cost of such assistance and permits a state or local government to use such assistance for the predeployment of assets and resources. The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) must complete a rulemaking to provide criteria for the circumstances under which it may recommend that the President increase the federal cost share.

Sponsors: Sen. Padilla, Alex [D-CA]

Target Audience

Population: People living in areas prone to wildfires

Estimated Size: 120000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Firefighter (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The additional funding will be crucial for predeployment and proactive measures.
  • The policy should ensure that funds are directly benefiting firefighter units and not lost in bureaucratic delays.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Insurance Adjuster (Oregon)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could help stabilize the insurance market by reducing severe fire outbreaks.
  • Better prevention can lead to more predictable risk assessments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 2

Environmental Scientist (Washington)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is pivotal in how local governments prepare for and respond to wildfire threats.
  • It's essential to integrate robust data assessment for predeployment strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 3

State Official (Texas)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy allows for flexibility and autonomy in how funds are used to manage potential fire crises.
  • Continual funding and revisiting criteria for cost share is essential.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired Farmer (California)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's reassuring to know that more federal support could help prevent situations like what happened last year.
  • I hope this helps improve resource allocation during wildfire seasons.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 7 2
Year 20 6 2

Wildfire Prevention Consultant (Arizona)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These funds will help implement innovative fire prevention strategies and training programs.
  • However, the success will depend on how states manage and utilize these resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

Tech Entrepreneur (New York)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I don't live in a fire-prone area, the policy could drive demand for newer technologies in fire prevention.
  • It highlights the need for advanced tools to combat environmental challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Emergency Management Director (Florida)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Additional federal funding should downgrade fire outbreak impacts.
  • This policy change should be paired with local training and resource management improvements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 5 3

College Student (Nevada)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is progressive policy that will assist communities like mine at the frontline of wildfire threats.
  • The key is ensuring swift fund allocation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 6 3

Forest Ranger (Colorado)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Enhanced funding is much needed for effective fire combat strategies.
  • The focus should be on long-term prevention tactics alongside immediate response improvements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 9 6
Year 3 9 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1500000000 (Low: $1200000000, High: $1800000000)

Year 2: $1600000000 (Low: $1300000000, High: $1900000000)

Year 3: $1700000000 (Low: $1400000000, High: $2000000000)

Year 5: $1900000000 (Low: $1600000000, High: $2200000000)

Year 10: $2200000000 (Low: $1900000000, High: $2500000000)

Year 100: $3500000000 (Low: $3000000000, High: $4000000000)

Key Considerations