Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4313

Bill Overview

Title: Defending Americans from Authoritarian Digital Currencies Act

Description: This bill prohibits app stores in the United States from carrying or supporting any app that allows transactions using the Chinese government's Digital Currency Electronic Payment system (e-CNY). App stores also may not support or enable transactions in e-CNY in their app stores.

Sponsors: Sen. Cotton, Tom [R-AR]

Target Audience

Population: People using apps for e-CNY transactions

Estimated Size: 200000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm aware of digital currencies but haven't used e-CNY specifically.
  • Our company will need to ensure our apps comply with this new policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I follow digital currency trends, but e-CNY isn't part of my current portfolio.
  • This policy makes me consider the geopolitical aspects of digital finance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Journalist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could set precedents for other digital financial restrictions.
  • It's an interesting development in the intersection of tech and politics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Small Business Owner (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Most of our transactions are still done using traditional currencies.
  • We need to stay informed about these changes though I don't expect immediate impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

App Developer (Austin, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy means extra work to ensure our apps don't support e-CNY.
  • It's more effort in terms of compliance than a direct impact on app utility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 20/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy doesn't affect me day-to-day, but I see its broader financial implications.
  • It's a timely reminder of how digital economies are evolving.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

College Student (Seattle, WA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 19/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm more interested in decentralized cryptocurrencies.
  • e-CNY isn't widely used in my networks or in trading platforms I use.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

International Trade Consultant (Portland, OR)

Age: 45 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might signal future restrictions on international digital currencies.
  • Consulting firms will need to pivot with regulatory adjustments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Blockchain Developer (Denver, CO)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's interesting to see how policies shape the tech ecosystem.
  • This regulation adds a layer of complexity to app development.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Supply Chain Manager (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While we use various digital platforms, e-CNY is not part of our systems yet.
  • The policy might be more significant for our partners in Asia.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)

Year 3: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)

Year 5: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)

Year 10: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)

Year 100: $3000000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)

Key Considerations