Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4304

Bill Overview

Title: Defending Freedom of Conscience for Cadets and Midshipmen Act of 2022

Description: This bill provides that a cadet or midshipman at a federal service academy (e.g., the U.S. Naval Academy) may not be required to be vaccinated for COVID-19 as a condition for graduation and may not be dismissed from the academy as a result of refusing to be vaccinated. Cadets and midshipmen who are prohibited from fulfilling their service agreement due to their refusal to receive a COVID-19 vaccination may not be subjected to repayment provisions (e.g., bonus repayment) or specified debt repayment collections.

Sponsors: Sen. Rubio, Marco [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: Cadets and midshipmen at federal service academies

Estimated Size: 7700

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Midshipman (Annapolis, MD)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe personal health decisions should not impact my educational status.
  • This policy protects my rights without financial penalty.
  • It could cause some operational issues at the academy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 5
Year 2 8 4
Year 3 9 4
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 9 3

Cadet (Colorado Springs, CO)

Age: 18 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support the overall aim but worry it may affect community health.
  • I chose to be vaccinated, but I value having the choice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Cadet (New London, CT)

Age: 20 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm relieved that I won't face penalties for my choice about vaccines.
  • Focus should be on training and readiness, not health mandates.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 4
Year 2 8 4
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 4

Midshipman (Kings Point, NY)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate being able to exercise personal choice.
  • I hope this policy doesn’t create divisions among students.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Cadet (West Point, NY)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am not directly affected as I complied with the vaccine mandates.
  • Good for those who wish for choice, but the overall training and environment should not compromise.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Former midshipman (Miami, FL)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law would have saved my educational trajectory within the academy.
  • It is a win for personal rights and helps others who may face my situation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 3
Year 2 7 2
Year 3 7 2
Year 5 7 2
Year 10 7 1
Year 20 7 1

Midshipman (Baltimore, MD)

Age: 21 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Thanks to this policy, my future in the Navy is secure without the pressure to conform.
  • There might be social consequences amongst peers but it's worth it for my health choices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 3
Year 2 8 3
Year 3 9 3
Year 5 9 3
Year 10 9 3
Year 20 9 3

Cadet (New London, CT)

Age: 19 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm neutral on this policy, as it doesn't affect my vaccination stance.
  • Hopefully, it helps those who feel pressured.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 6 4
Year 20 6 4

Midshipman (Kings Point, NY)

Age: 22 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law eases a burden off my shoulders.
  • My family's religious beliefs were significant, and this policy recognizes our right to them.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 7 3
Year 5 8 2
Year 10 8 2
Year 20 8 2

Cadet (Colorado Springs, CO)

Age: 20 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's not a primary concern for me, as I'm vaccinated responsibly.
  • Hopefully, it won't divert attention from academy missions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $11000000 (Low: $5500000, High: $17000000)

Year 10: $12000000 (Low: $6000000, High: $18000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $7500000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations