Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4272

Bill Overview

Title: National Guard Promotion Improvement Act of 2022

Description: This bill addresses the promotion process for members of the National Guard.

Sponsors: Sen. Duckworth, Tammy [D-IL]

Target Audience

Population: Members of the National Guard

Estimated Size: 440000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

National Guard Soldier (Texas)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this new policy makes promotions more transparent and merit-based.
  • Better promotion processes means more motivation for us servicemembers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

National Guard Lieutenant (California)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Advancement in the National Guard has been slow; any steps to expedite and improve the process are welcome.
  • This policy might help retain talent.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

National Guard Colonel (Florida)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Consistency and clarity in promotions are always positives.
  • This act reflects a clear acknowledgment of the intricacies in guard promotions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Civilian (New York)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I couldn’t get promoted and left; this policy would have been helpful when I was serving.
  • I'm curious if it will affect re-engagement with veterans like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

National Guard Major (Alabama)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • For someone nearing retirement, it might have limited impact, but it could improve morale.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

National Guard Recruit (Illinois)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Good promotion policies mean better early career motivation.
  • I’m keen to see how this policy can shape my future outlook.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Civilian (Washington)

Age: 51 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Promotions are key to a healthy defense force, but this doesn't directly impact me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

University Student (Virginia)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m currently undecided, but a fair promotion process is something I'd consider strongly.
  • Policies like this could encourage more to enlist.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Civil Engineer (Nevada)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Improved promotion processes help those whom my work supports but isn’t directly related to my job.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

National Guard Specialist (Georgia)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Specialists often feel sidelined in promotions, so a clearer path is beneficial.
  • I’m looking forward to seeing what changes this brings.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $70000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $90000000)

Year 2: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 3: $30000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $35000000)

Year 5: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $12000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations