Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4265

Bill Overview

Title: Inflation-Adjusted Education Investment Act

Description: This bill modifies provisions relating to qualified tuition programs (i.e., tax-exempt 529 plans). Specifically, it increases from $10,000 to $12,000 the limitation under such programs on payments for educational expenses, including expenses for tuition in connection with enrollment or attendance at an elementary or secondary public, private, or religious school. The bill provides for an annual inflation adjustment to the increased limitation amount for taxable years beginning after 2022.

Sponsors: Sen. Kennedy, John [R-LA]

Target Audience

Population: People using 529 education savings plans

Estimated Size: 6000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Marketing Manager (California)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This increase will help us save a bit more for college, especially since costs keep rising.
  • I'm glad there will be an inflation adjustment because it feels like everything is getting more expensive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Software Engineer (Texas)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • An extra $2,000 could help cover more alternative school expenses I'm helping with for my niece and nephew.
  • It's nice to see future costs considered with the inflation adjustment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 7

School Teacher (Florida)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's great that starting limits will keep up with inflation by the time I really need it.
  • This makes me more confident in opening a 529 plan sooner.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Financial Advisor (New York)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy allows me to keep up with rising costs for my son's tuition.
  • The incentive to contribute more for K-12 can help manage private school fees too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 7

Stay-at-home parent (Illinois)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I can see the benefit but without more disposable income, the cap increase is not that helpful.
  • Inflation adjustment is good for future planning, however.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 4
Year 20 4 3

Retired (Ohio)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have been putting away money for grandchildren for a long time, so maximizing contributions is always a plus.
  • This encourages keeping up the contributions even for their elementary education expenses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Freelancer (Georgia)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Having the ability to contribute more once I start makes the plan seem worthwhile.
  • Inflation adjustment sounds beneficial long-term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 5

Nonprofit Executive (Virginia)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Allows me to put more towards saving for the remaining high school years if needed.
  • I appreciate any policy influencing the affordability of education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Sales Representative (Pennsylvania)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Increasing contributions now helps cover early education plans.
  • Using 529 for elementary education might be valuable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 5

Entrepreneur (Michigan)

Age: 42 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The increased contribution limit is appealing for putting money aside as my business grows.
  • It's comforting knowing future contributions adjust to inflation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 2: $520000000 (Low: $410000000, High: $610000000)

Year 3: $540000000 (Low: $420000000, High: $620000000)

Year 5: $580000000 (Low: $440000000, High: $660000000)

Year 10: $650000000 (Low: $480000000, High: $730000000)

Year 100: $900000000 (Low: $600000000, High: $1000000000)

Key Considerations