Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4253

Bill Overview

Title: Student Loan Accountability Act

Description: This bill generally prohibits the Departments of Education, Justice, or the Treasury from taking any action to cancel or forgive the outstanding balances, or portion of balances, of covered loans. Covered loans refer to Federal Family Education Loans, Federal Direct Loans, Federal Perkins Loans, and loans under the Health Education Assistance Loan Program. The prohibition does not apply to targeted federal student loan forgiveness, cancellation, or repayment programs that are in effect by final regulation on May 11, 2022, and carried out under the Higher Education Act of 1965.

Sponsors: Sen. Romney, Mitt [R-UT]

Target Audience

Population: Citizens with federal student loans

Estimated Size: 43000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Marketing Manager (Chicago, IL)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm working hard to pay off my student loans and was hoping for some broad relief, but I'm glad targeted forgiveness isn't affected.
  • I think it's critical to have transparent policies so I'm not counting on something that won't happen.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Software Developer (Denver, CO)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy makes me uneasy because I was hoping for some forgiveness to help me with my high debt.
  • Any hint of forgiveness being potentially off the table increases my stress, especially with my upcoming marriage.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 6 6

Public School Teacher (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm happy that the targeted forgiveness via PSLF isn't impacted by this policy.
  • The broader aspect of not having loan balances canceled isn't too relevant for me personally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Graphic Designer (Austin, TX)

Age: 24 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've just started my career and wasn't really counting on any forgiveness, so the impact is minimal for me.
  • I think it's more important to focus on job opportunities and salary growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Registered Nurse (Miami, FL)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I rely on targeted forgiveness programs being steady and available, so I'm relieved they're unaffected.
  • The policy doesn't change my personal financial strategy much.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Administrator at University (New York, NY)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is more of interest for my kids since I don't have loans myself anymore.
  • I'm interested in how future policies might affect education costs for my children.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Recent College Graduate (Seattle, WA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm a bit disappointed as I was really hoping for some help with my federal loans. This adds to my stress when looking for a job.
  • I suppose relying on forgiveness wasn't a sure plan, but it was a hopeful possibility.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Small Business Owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hoped for some debt relief to ease current cash flow issues, so the news is a little disappointing.
  • I'll need to rethink my payment strategies once more economic stability returns.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 7

Technical Advisor (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy doesn't impact me directly since I'm past my student loan years.
  • I'm more focused on financial planning for my children.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Freelance Writer (Portland, OR)

Age: 30 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With the gig economy, my payments are hard to keep up with and I was banking on hopes of forgiveness at times.
  • This policy means I definitely need to make more consistent income to manage these payments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 4
Year 2 3 4
Year 3 3 4
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 3: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 5: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 100: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Key Considerations