Bill Overview
Title: Hadiya Pendleton and Nyasia Pryear-Yard Gun Trafficking and Crime Prevention Act of 2022
Description: Hadiya Pendleton and Nyasia Pryear-Yard Gun Trafficking and Crime Prevention Act of This bill makes trafficking in firearms a stand-alone criminal offense.
Sponsors: Sen. Gillibrand, Kirsten E. [D-NY]
Target Audience
Population: People affected by firearm trafficking and related crimes
Estimated Size: 5000000
- Firearm trafficking is a global issue impacting countries where firearms are illegally transported and used in crimes.
- The legislation would primarily affect individuals and communities in countries where US firearms are trafficked.
- Firearm trafficking is linked to violent crimes, which affect victims and communities globally.
Reasoning
- The policy targets necessary intervention on firearm trafficking by criminalizing it as an isolated offense. Considering the US context, the areas primarily affected will include urban regions where illegal use of firearms is prevalent.
- The budget limitations mean that while significant progress can be made, the changes might not be uniform across all regions. The high cost of enforcement and monitoring necessitates prioritization within the most affected communities.
- Many people might not notice a direct impact if they live in areas with minimal trafficking activity, or if they're not directly involved with affected communities.
- Positive impacts on wellbeing are expected to be more significant in communities presently plagued by violent crimes due to illicit firearm activities.
- Given the scale of the problem, with an estimated 5 million people in the US potentially affected by trafficking-related crimes, the policy will need to prioritize areas with highest incidents or gun violence rates.
Simulated Interviews
Police officer (Chicago, IL)
Age: 34 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- As a police officer, I've witnessed firsthand the devastation illegal firearms cause in the community.
- This policy is definitely a step in the right direction. It will give us more legal backing to crack down on trafficking.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 5 |
School teacher (Atlanta, GA)
Age: 42 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I hope this policy will reduce the number of youngsters getting involved in gun violence.
- It's hard to teach kids who are constantly worried about their safety because of gun-related crimes in their neighborhood.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 5 |
Community organizer (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 29 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 4
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I look forward to our community feeling safer. This policy could help curb the illegal supply of guns.
- We need to see strict follow-through and support at the community level for real change.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 4 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 4 |
Retail worker (Seattle, WA)
Age: 37 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 1.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I don't personally deal with gun-related issues much here, but it's good to have stricter laws to keep it that way.
- I hope this helps communities that are more affected by illegal weapons.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 7 |
Lawyer (New York, NY)
Age: 53 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The policy will make prosecuting firearm traffickers more straightforward, aiding law enforcement.
- However, we must ensure it does not unintentionally burden communities with unfair legal challenges.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Journalist (Miami, FL)
Age: 28 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- It is significant to have a bill that addresses gun trafficking directly.
- I'm interested to see how it will impact violent crime statistics in the upcoming reports.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 5 |
Retired military (Dallas, TX)
Age: 61 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy should have been in effect a long time ago given what I've seen through my career.
- As long as it's implemented correctly, I believe it'll improve public safety significantly.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Psychologist (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 45 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Limiting illegal firearms can significantly reduce exposure to traumatic incidents among my patients.
- A focused policy like this is necessary for long-term mental well-being improvements.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 5 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 5 |
Small business owner (Detroit, MI)
Age: 50 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 4
Duration of Impact: 15.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- If this reduces gun violence in the area, it'll be better for my business and personal safety.
- I hope increased enforcement does not unfairly target innocent citizens.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 4 |
| Year 20 | 5 | 4 |
Social worker (Baltimore, MD)
Age: 39 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 4
Duration of Impact: 20.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm optimistic this will help curb supply and thus, the allure for at-risk kids to engage with firearms.
- A reduction in gun violence would help improve community stability and individual mental health.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 4 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 4 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)
Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $62000000)
Year 3: $54000000 (Low: $44000000, High: $64000000)
Year 5: $58000000 (Low: $48000000, High: $68000000)
Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)
Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)
Key Considerations
- The effectiveness of the legislation in reducing gun trafficking will heavily depend on enforcement and international cooperation.
- There is uncertainty regarding the extent of initial costs due to potential legal challenges and adaptation of law enforcement practices.
- Long-term savings are contingent on the actual reduction in gun-related crimes.