Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4179

Bill Overview

Title: Space National Guard Establishment Act

Description: This bill establishes a Space National Guard as the reserve component of the U.S. Space Force.

Sponsors: Sen. Feinstein, Dianne [D-CA]

Target Audience

Population: people currently serving in the National Guard eligible for transfer to a Space National Guard and potential future recruits

Estimated Size: 5000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

National Guard Member (Colorado Springs, CO)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe this initiative could open new career paths for people like me who are interested in space operations.
  • However, it might also mean longer training periods and perhaps necessary relocations, which I am both excited and nervous about.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

National Guard Recruiter (Huntsville, AL)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More students have been asking about opportunities in space-related fields and this could definitely boost interest.
  • There’s potential here for me to expand my recruiting grounds, but I’d need some specialized training to talk more intelligently about space roles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Astronomer and Part-time National Guard Member (Cape Canaveral, FL)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This scenario perfectly blends my civilian career and reserve duty, giving me unique opportunities to apply my astronomy skills in a military capacity.
  • I’d jump at the chance to be part of this pioneering unit if it means more alignment with my day job.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 10 8
Year 5 10 7
Year 10 10 7
Year 20 9 7

National Guard Logistics Officer (San Diego, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The creation of a Space National Guard effort affects our budget allocations and logistics planning significantly.
  • Whilst it's part of progress, there's a lot of red tape and logistical hurdles that will need to be overcome to make this work smoothly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Civilan interested in military career (Houston, TX)

Age: 23 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've always wanted to work in space, and the Guard's Space component is thrilling.
  • It's a chance to do something unique while serving my country.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Retired National Guard Member (Boston, MA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 16/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It’s an exciting development within the military framework that marks a new direction for the reserves, enhancing our capabilities in space.
  • I’m supportive but cautious about how budgets might be redirected from other crucial areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

National Guard Medic (Anchorage, AK)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The potential for tech advancements could spill over to medical fields, which is exciting.
  • However, I worry that resources could be pulled from essential Guard services that we rely on daily.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Software Engineer and National Guard Technology Specialist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this as a great opportunity to merge my civilian and military skills, especially in a space-centric world.
  • Cybersecurity in space operations is critical, and my role might become even more vital.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 6

Defense Policy Analyst (Fairfax, VA)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This represents a strategic shift in military priorities, and if managed well, it could enhance the U.S.'s capabilities in the space arena.
  • Policy execution and financial prudence will be key to its success, amidst possible political challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

National Guard Aerospace Technician (Tampa, FL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I’m enthusiastic about the possibilities of working with space technologies, even though it may require additional training and certification.
  • I anticipate some growing pains as systems get refined, but the long-term rewards could be significant.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $300000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $400000000)

Year 2: $200000000 (Low: $150000000, High: $300000000)

Year 3: $150000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $250000000)

Year 5: $100000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $200000000)

Year 10: $100000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $150000000)

Year 100: $100000000 (Low: $75000000, High: $150000000)

Key Considerations