Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4178

Bill Overview

Title: Copyright Clause Restoration Act of 2022

Description: This bill shortens the copyright protection term to 28 years starting from the date the work was originally secured, to be renewable for an additional 28-year term. (Under current law, for works created after 1977, the general rule is that the copyright term lasts for the life of the author plus 70 years.) The bill shall apply to all works fixed on or after the bill's enactment, except that it shall have retroactive effect for copyrights belonging to an entity that (1) is involved in the motion picture or arts and entertainment industries, and (2) has a market capitalization of more than $150 billion.

Sponsors: Sen. Hawley, Josh [R-MO]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals globally affected by changes to copyright law, including creators, consumers, and corporations

Estimated Size: 100000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Film Producer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could significantly impact our studio's revenue model as it relies heavily on longstanding franchises.
  • Retroactive effect could harm our ability to finance new creative projects given that some revenue streams from older works might diminish.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 4 6

Indie Game Developer (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The reduced copyright term might push me to release new content more frequently.
  • While challenging, it encourages staying creative and competitive in the market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 5 7

Musician and Composer (Austin, TX)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that reduced copyright terms could lower my long-term earnings from tracks created years ago.
  • Increased exposure could introduce my older work to new audiences as they enter the public domain, potentially increasing live performance opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy has little effect on my day-to-day work.
  • However, as our company grows, reduced protections could change how we handle licensing or open sourcing older projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 7

University Professor (Cincinnati, OH)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy will likely increase access to a broader range of literature for educational purposes.
  • I'm hopeful this will lead to enriched academic curricula and encourage new scholarly research.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

Animator (Miami, FL)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reduced terms might mean less control over my older work, but could also open possibilities for collaborative efforts using public domain material.
  • It might make me reprioritize contract work focused on new, shorter projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 5 7

Graduate Student in Law (Boston, MA)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy provides a unique case to explore the balance between creator rights and public accessibility.
  • I hope to see more creative ways to use public domain assets in education and innovation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Retired Librarian (Seattle, WA)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The accelerated addition of materials to the public domain is a positive move for public libraries.
  • It could greatly enhance collections, especially digital archives, providing wider access to the community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

CEO of a software startup (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could lead to greater innovation in our industry by democratizing older creative assets.
  • We may need to adjust our business strategy to provide even better services to independent artists navigating shorter copyright terms.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Non-Profit Director (Portland, OR)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see potential for our programs to incorporate more resources as they enter the public domain sooner.
  • This policy could complement our mission by reducing barriers to arts education.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 3: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $35000000)

Year 5: $20000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $28000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $9000000, High: $21000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations