Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4157

Bill Overview

Title: LEAD Act of 2022

Description: This bill directs the Department of the Interior to promulgate final regulations prohibiting the discharge of a firearm using ammunition other than nonlead ammunition included on the list established pursuant to this bill on all lands and waters under the jurisdiction and control of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Interior shall establish and annually update a list of nonlead ammunition. The prohibition shall not apply to (1) a government official or agent who is carrying out a statutory duty unrelated to the management of wildlife; (2) a state, local, tribal, or federal law enforcement officer, or the agent of such an officer, who is carrying out a statutory duty; or (3) an active member of the U.S. military who is carrying out official duties. The regulations promulgated pursuant to this bill shall provide that any person that knowingly violates the prohibition may be assessed a civil penalty by Interior of (1) no more than $500 for the first violation, and (2) no less than $1,000 or more than $5,000 for each subsequent violation.

Sponsors: Sen. Duckworth, Tammy [D-IL]

Target Audience

Population: Hunters and users of ammunition on U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service lands

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Rancher (Montana)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the cost of switching to non-lead ammunition.
  • Hunting is a way of life here, and any additional cost can be burdensome.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Conservation Specialist (California)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fully support the reduction of lead in our environments.
  • This could have significant positive impacts on wildlife health.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Ammunition Manufacturer (Texas)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The transition will initially be challenging for the industry.
  • But there is an opportunity here for growth in nonlead production.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Park Ranger (Florida)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could improve our land's health.
  • Hunters' compliance and acceptance are key to success.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 7

Retired Military, Recreational Hunter (Alaska)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the exceptions for military but worry about access to affordable ammo.
  • Traditional hunting methods mean a lot to our community.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Wildlife Photographer (Michigan)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Nonlead ammunition should reduce lead exposure risks in wildlife.
  • This is beneficial not only for animals but for our health too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

College Student, Environmental Studies (New York)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this are steps in the right direction for environmental health.
  • There is always room for improvement in ensuring broad impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 8

Hunting Guide (Alabama)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Switching ammo is a hassle but could improve hunting quality long-term.
  • Clients might resist due to cost, impacting business initially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Nonprofit Worker (Ohio)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Education will be crucial in transitioning hunters smoothly.
  • This policy aligns well with sustainability goals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 9

Wildlife Enthusiast (Wyoming)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This initiative is positive for wildlife enthusiasts like myself.
  • It could lead to healthier ecosystems overall.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $12000000 (Low: $8000000, High: $18000000)

Year 3: $10000000 (Low: $7000000, High: $15000000)

Year 5: $8000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $12000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $8000000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Key Considerations