Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4116

Bill Overview

Title: SMART Cocaine Sentencing Act

Description: This bill reduces the federal sentencing disparity between drug offenses involving crack cocaine and powder cocaine. Currently, different threshold amounts of crack cocaine and powder cocaine (e.g., 28 grams of crack cocaine and 500 grams of powder cocaine) trigger the same statutory criminal penalties. This bill reduces the federal sentencing disparity by altering the threshold amounts of crack cocaine and powder cocaine that trigger statutory criminal penalties. Specifically, the bill increases the threshold amounts of crack cocaine (e.g., from 28 to 160 grams) and decreases the threshold amounts of powder cocaine (e.g., from 500 to 400 grams) that trigger statutory criminal penalties. The changes may apply retroactively, but only if the Department of Justice (DOJ) certifies that the sentence of a defendant should be reduced. The bill requires DOJ to review and report on various data related to crack cocaine and powder cocaine, including individual dosage amounts, addictiveness, and associated violence. Additionally, the U.S. Sentencing Commission must report publicly on cocaine offenses and offenders, including trends in cocaine trafficking patterns, price, and use; the interaction of state penalties with federal prosecutorial decisions; and federal case law developments related to federal cocaine sentencing.

Sponsors: Sen. Grassley, Chuck [R-IA]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in cocaine-related offenses

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

currently incarcerated (Chicago, IL)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 12.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy could really help people like me who were given harsh sentences.
  • If my sentence could be reconsidered, it would mean I might get to see my children grow up after all.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 7 3
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 8 3

public defender (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is definitely a step in the right direction, but it's just one part of a much larger issue of drug sentencing reform.
  • More needs to be done to ensure equitable treatment across all drug offenses.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 4

community activist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While the policy is a positive move, it needs more visibility and support to ensure that DOJ handles retroactive cases fairly.
  • There's hope that this will lead to broader reforms across the system.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

judge (New York, NY)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The adjusted thresholds make sense given the evolving understanding of drug offence impacts.
  • We might see a fairer application of justice, but it will require oversight to ensure consistency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

recent college graduate (Dallas, TX)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might encourage more people to get involved in reform efforts, seeing tangible changes happen.
  • It's encouraging to see some effort to address past injustices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

rehabilitated former offender (Miami, FL)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This brings a little hope to those caught in the system for too long.
  • I'd like to see more support for those re-entering society; changing sentences is just the beginning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

policy analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This legislation could lay the groundwork for future reforms, but its success hinges on efficient and thoughtful implementation.
  • It's an important balancing act between punishing crime and righting previous judicial errors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

social worker (Houston, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm optimistic this could reduce some family separations due to incarceration, especially for minor drug offenses.
  • But it needs to be paired with broader social support policies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 4

software engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's promising to see efforts to fix sentencing discrepancies; this could inspire other necessary reforms.
  • I trust that continued oversight and data collection will guide future changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 5

advocate for minority rights (Detroit, MI)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy change is a win for justice and fairness, particularly for African-American communities targeted by severe sentencing laws.
  • We need to remain vigilant in ensuring it's consistently applied.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 3
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 8 3

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $7000000)

Year 2: $4000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $5500000)

Year 3: $3500000 (Low: $2000000, High: $5000000)

Year 5: $3000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $4500000)

Year 10: $2500000 (Low: $1000000, High: $4000000)

Year 100: $100000 (Low: $50000, High: $150000)

Key Considerations