Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4036

Bill Overview

Title: Public Health and Border Security Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) to meet conditions related to notification and planning before terminating certain restrictions on imports and individuals entering the United States. Current law authorizes HHS to restrict entries and imports from foreign countries to prevent the introduction of communicable diseases. HHS exercised this authority as part of its COVID-19 response, including to allow for the expulsion of undocumented migrants at the border without any asylum processing. Under this bill, HHS may not terminate the restrictions for (1) at least 60 days after it notifies Congress of the end of the COVID-19 emergency, and (2) at least 30 days after it submits to Congress a plan for addressing the possible influx of migrants or imports resulting from lifting the restrictions.

Sponsors: Sen. Lankford, James [R-OK]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals potentially entering the United States during and after COVID-19 restrictions are lifted, including undocumented migrants

Estimated Size: 3000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Border Patrol Officer (San Diego, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think the policy is necessary to ensure there is a plan in place before changing current restrictions.
  • It provides a clear framework for the transition period.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 5

Undocumented Migrant (El Paso, TX)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The restrictions make it hard to seek asylum, and the policy might delay my chances.
  • I hope post-COVID easing can open opportunities for people like me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 3 2
Year 2 4 3
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Public Health Official (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The planning requirement is a positive step to ensure readiness for any public health concerns.
  • Consultations with Congress should ensure that all parties are informed and prepared.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

NGO Worker (Tucson, AZ)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about how continued restrictions will affect vulnerable populations.
  • Adequate plans must prioritize humanitarian needs alongside health security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 5 6

Small Business Owner (Miami, FL)

Age: 31 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is necessary but hoping it doesn't delay imports too long, affecting business.
  • Communication from HHS is crucial for planning our next steps.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

College Student (Austin, TX)

Age: 20 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While primarily academic for me, observing real-time policy applications is fascinating.
  • Ensuring disease control while reopening borders should balance public health and humanitarian aid.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired Immigrant (New York, NY)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy seems balanced but hopefully not too restrictive on worldwide movement.
  • As someone who migrated, I think thorough planning is important to manage today’s challenges.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Healthcare Worker (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The structured approach is reassuring as it can prevent future outbreaks.
  • We need seamless coordination with border controls to maintain safeguards.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Politician (Chicago, IL)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like this are integral for handling migration safely and effectively.
  • Ensuring public health safety while maintaining rights is at the core of federal responsibilities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Technology Consultant (Seattle, WA)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Restrictions on entries impact international collaboration, but precautions are necessary.
  • I trust the plans to balance mobility with safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 5: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 10: $5000000 (Low: $3000000, High: $8000000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $2000000)

Key Considerations