Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/4011

Bill Overview

Title: Capping Drug Costs for Seniors Act of 2022

Description: 2022 This bill caps annual out-of-pocket spending under the Medicare prescription drug benefit.

Sponsors: Sen. Warnock, Raphael G. [D-GA]

Target Audience

Population: Seniors on Medicare globally

Estimated Size: 62000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Retired teacher (Florida)

Age: 68 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've been worried about my prescriptions getting more expensive over the years.
  • This policy could be a lifesaver for my budget.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 7 2

Retired engineer (California)

Age: 73 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Every year I'm paying more out of pocket for my medications.
  • This act could ease the financial burden greatly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 6 3
Year 20 5 2

Retired nurse (New York)

Age: 80 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The cost of my medication has been overwhelming.
  • This policy could provide peace of mind in my daily life.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 3
Year 2 7 3
Year 3 7 2
Year 5 7 2
Year 10 6 2
Year 20 5 1

Retired librarian (Texas)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I manage now, it's good to know this cap is there for the future.
  • May not need it now, but who knows about tomorrow?

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired steelworker (Ohio)

Age: 82 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This cap won't change much for me since I'm covered through the VA.
  • It's great for those paying out of their pocket though.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 7 7

Retired accountant (Illinois)

Age: 75 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Managing my health on a fixed income is challenging.
  • This measure would greatly alleviate my financial stress.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 8 3
Year 10 9 2
Year 20 8 1

Retired machinist (Pennsylvania)

Age: 79 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's been hard adjusting after my wife passed, this cap might ease my prescription worries.
  • Policies like these are needed more and more.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 6 2
Year 20 5 2

Retired receptionist (Arizona)

Age: 76 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I already use additional insurance that covers some costs, but do have out-of-pocket expenses.
  • The cap is a comforting backstop for unexpected future costs.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 6 2

Retired postal worker (Michigan)

Age: 65 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I might not need the cap now, but it's reassuring as I age.
  • Policy like this supports seniors' peace of mind.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 5

Retired seamstress (Oregon)

Age: 71 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • A large part of my check goes to my medicine.
  • The cap can ensure I can sustain my treatment long term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 3
Year 5 7 2
Year 10 6 1
Year 20 5 1

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000000 (Low: $12000000000, High: $18000000000)

Year 2: $15500000000 (Low: $12500000000, High: $18500000000)

Year 3: $16000000000 (Low: $13000000000, High: $19000000000)

Year 5: $17000000000 (Low: $13500000000, High: $20000000000)

Year 10: $20000000000 (Low: $17000000000, High: $23000000000)

Year 100: $50000000000 (Low: $40000000000, High: $60000000000)

Key Considerations