Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3990

Bill Overview

Title: Insider Trading Prohibition Act

Description: This bill generally provides statutory authority for the prohibition against securities trading, as well as related communications to others, by a person who has access to material, nonpublic information and is aware or recklessly disregards that the information is material and nonpublic. Further, that person must either be aware or recklessly disregards that the information has been obtained wrongfully or that the trading would be wrongful. The bill also provides, for purposes of establishing a violation of this prohibition, that it is not necessary for such a person to know specifically how such information was obtained or whether a personal benefit was paid or promised.

Sponsors: Sen. Reed, Jack [D-RI]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in global securities trading and investment

Estimated Size: 60000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Hedge Fund Manager (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is essential to ensure fair trading practices, though it might increase our compliance costs.
  • We need to adjust our internal controls to avoid inadvertent violations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Tech Startup Executive (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's good to have legal clarity, but this might complicate how we communicate internally about non-public information.
  • I am supportive of measures that level the playing field for all investors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Financial Analyst (Chicago, IL)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The Act should deter unethical practices and make market movements more reliable.
  • I'm optimistic about improved job security if the firm avoids scandals.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Retired School Teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe such laws are necessary, though I worry about unintended consequences affecting small investors.
  • This makes me think my investments are safer from shady practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Corporate Lawyer (Boston, MA)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This Act presents more work for compliance departments, which benefits my line of work.
  • I'm confident it will enhance transparency and trust in the markets.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Retail Investor (Austin, TX)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this law brings more fairness to the markets and benefits small-time investors like me.
  • I'm wary of how new policies might affect algorithmic trading, which I'm learning.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

CEO of a Public Company (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 39 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Compliance costs will rise, affecting overhead and potentially impacting stock prices in the short term.
  • Nonetheless, it's positive for market trust overall.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

University Professor (Seattle, WA)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This legislation provides interesting case studies and enriches my curriculum.
  • I strongly support policies that protect market integrity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Financial Journalist (Dallas, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This measure is a game-changer, leading to increased transparency and ethics in financial news reporting.
  • It's a positive pressure on companies to be more transparent.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Day Trader (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 34 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This Act could change how fast information can be acted on, affecting daily trading decisions.
  • I find its intentions good for the market, though adaptive strategies will be needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $300000000 (Low: $250000000, High: $400000000)

Year 2: $310000000 (Low: $260000000, High: $420000000)

Year 3: $320000000 (Low: $270000000, High: $430000000)

Year 5: $340000000 (Low: $290000000, High: $450000000)

Year 10: $360000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $480000000)

Year 100: $400000000 (Low: $350000000, High: $500000000)

Key Considerations