Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3978

Bill Overview

Title: NO RUSSIA Act of 2022

Description: This bill provides statutory authority (and reallocates funding) for the Office of Nuclear Energy to establish a strategic reserve of uranium to ensure the availability of domestic supplies of uranium. The bill also requires the office to establish another program to support domestic production, conversion, and enrichment of uranium for nuclear reactors and eliminate reliance on Russian uranium. The office may not source uranium for the reserve or the program from companies that are controlled by, owned by, or otherwise affiliated with China or Russia.

Sponsors: Sen. Barrasso, John [R-WY]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in the uranium production and nuclear energy sector globally

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Uranium Miner (Colorado)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this act will create more job opportunities.
  • If my company wins contracts to supply this reserve, our job security would increase.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 4

Nuclear Policy Analyst (New York)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act could help strengthen U.S. energy independence, but we must monitor environmental impacts.
  • The budget allocation is significant; we need transparency on how it will be spent.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 7 5

Energy Consultant (Texas)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could be a boost for domestic uranium clients I advise.
  • However, reliant sectors will need time to adjust to new supply chains.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 6

Environmental Activist (Utah)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerns about ecological effects of increased mining.
  • The policy could lead to greater environmental degradation if not managed properly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Retired Nuclear Engineer (California)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The shift away from Russian imports is prudent.
  • A strategic reserve could have minimized past disruptions, so I'm hopeful.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Nuclear Reactor Operator (Illinois)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could ensure a reliable supply of uranium.
  • Operational stability should improve with diversified resource sourcing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 8 5

Graduate Student (Oregon)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The act is a mixed bag; while it bolsters energy security, environmental safeguards are needed.
  • Academic studies may increase in this field, offering research opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Local Government Official (New Mexico)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy can boost the local economy if new mining projects are initiated.
  • Environmental concerns must be balanced with economic incentives.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Manufacturing Worker (Michigan)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this act affects my job.
  • It may help national energy independence, but that's abstract to me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 5

Lobbyist (Washington DC)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act represents a shift to favor domestic industry, which is beneficial for my clients.
  • It may accelerate nuclear energy's repute in the cleaner energy category.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $400000000, High: $600000000)

Year 2: $520000000 (Low: $420000000, High: $620000000)

Year 3: $550000000 (Low: $450000000, High: $650000000)

Year 5: $600000000 (Low: $500000000, High: $700000000)

Year 10: $750000000 (Low: $650000000, High: $850000000)

Year 100: $2000000000 (Low: $1800000000, High: $2200000000)

Key Considerations