Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3960

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to establish the CCP Initiative program, and for other purposes.

Description: This bill reestablishes an initiative related to China within the National Security Division of the Department of Justice (DOJ) and outlines the goals and requirements for this initiative. In 2022, DOJ ended a program named the China Initiative. This bill reestablishes and renames it the CCP Initiative to (1) counter nation-state threats to the United States; (2) curb spying by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) on U.S. intellectual property and academic institutions; (3) identify and prosecute individuals engaged in trade secret theft, hacking, and economic espionage; and (4) protect U.S. critical infrastructure from foreign threats. DOJ must annually brief specified congressional committees on the progress and challenges of the initiative. The initiative terminates six years after enactment of this bill.

Sponsors: Sen. Scott, Rick [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals connected to U.S.-China academic and intellectual properties, including Chinese nationals and U.S. citizens working in sensitive areas

Estimated Size: 500000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm a little worried about increased scrutiny on my Chinese colleagues—they're vital to our project.
  • Security is a priority, but so is maintaining a collaborative work environment with global talent.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 6

Cybersecurity Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This initiative is crucial to protect our national infrastructure from foreign threats.
  • It might mean more work, but it’s necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Research Scientist (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I fear this will create hurdles in my research due to increased scrutiny.
  • Might face complications with visas or funding.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 6 7

CEO of a Biotech Firm (Houston, TX)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This initiative could help protect our IP, but it could also lead to complications with international partners.
  • Staying compliant will require more resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Graduate Student (Boston, MA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this will protect academic integrity, but I worry it will discourage international collaboration.
  • I'm concerned about increased tension.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

University Dean (Chicago, IL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy could create tighter controls which might impact our international programs.
  • Administration and compliance might become more cumbersome.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 7

Intellectual Property Lawyer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is beneficial for our clients who face risks from international IP theft.
  • It might increase our workload significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 8 9
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 9

Data Analyst (Seattle, WA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Our company has always prioritized security; however, this policy could require more stringent measures.
  • Might lead to increased job stability but also more stress.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Academic researcher (Austin, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This initiative could disrupt collaborative work with foreign universities, which is crucial for my research.
  • There's a risk of academic isolation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 6

Journalist (Miami, FL)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is important for cybersecurity, but transparency in its implementation will be key.
  • It's essential that civil liberties are protected despite heightened security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Year 2: $155000000 (Low: $125000000, High: $185000000)

Year 3: $160000000 (Low: $128000000, High: $192000000)

Year 5: $170000000 (Low: $136000000, High: $204000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations