Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3935

Bill Overview

Title: Pretrial Release Reporting Act

Description: This bill requires the Bureau of Justice Statistics to submit a report to Congress on individuals who are granted bail or pretrial release from state courts and are charged with violent felony offenses (e.g., murder or rape).

Sponsors: Sen. Johnson, Ron [R-WI]

Target Audience

Population: People in the US granted pretrial release for violent felonies

Estimated Size: 30000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Construction Worker (Chicago, IL)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Worried about potential bias in future court decisions based on report findings.
  • Hopes the report leads to fairer bail practices.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Social Worker (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Supportive of data collection if it leads to improved community safety.
  • Concerned about personal data security for those released pretrial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Police Officer (Houston, TX)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hopes the reported data will aid in risk assessment for pretrial releases.
  • Cautious about additional workload for police departments.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Judge (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 53 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Believes data will facilitate more informed judicial decisions.
  • Concerned about potential impact on judicial discretion.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Research Analyst (Philadelphia, PA)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Sees potential for policy-driven research to improve bail system.
  • Concerned about the accuracy and completeness of data to be collected.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 10 8

Community Activist (Miami, FL)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Optimistic that the policy will highlight issues with current pretrial release practices.
  • Worried about a delay in seeing tangible policy changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 7

Paralegal (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Concerned the findings will be used to justify harsher bail conditions.
  • Wants the data to ensure fair treatment of clients.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 6

Public Defender (Denver, CO)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Sees an opportunity for systemic improvements through transparency.
  • Concerns on how the report might affect efforts for bail reform.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Law Professor (Seattle, WA)

Age: 33 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Believes the impact will be felt in how courts evaluate risk.
  • Worried about potential negative consequences of misinterpreted data.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Business Owner (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Interested in data potentially leading to reduced crime rates.
  • Sceptical of how quickly policy impacts will manifest.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $3000000 (Low: $2500000, High: $4000000)

Year 2: $1500000 (Low: $1200000, High: $1800000)

Year 3: $500000 (Low: $400000, High: $700000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations