Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3925

Bill Overview

Title: DEBRIS Act of 2022

Description: This bill requires the President to impose visa- and property-blocking sanctions on foreign persons (entities or individuals) that deliberately or negligently create space debris without providing prior notification to the U.S. government. The President must also impose such sanctions on foreign persons that provide certain assistance or support to the activity that resulted in the creation of the space debris.

Sponsors: Sen. Rubio, Marco [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: Foreign persons who create or support the creation of space debris

Estimated Size: 5000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Policy Analyst (Washington D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The DEBRIS Act seems like a crucial national security measure.
  • Reluctant to say it will have significant direct impacts on my life but could influence work due to policy analyses required.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Software Engineer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support policies that aim to keep our space activities clean but worry about business disruptions.
  • Hopefully, the policy will pressure international partners to adhere to industry standards without impacting joint projects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

NASA Scientist (Houston, TX)

Age: 37 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could significantly alleviate debris risks.
  • Good for planetary science but may complicate international cooperation in short term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

International Lawyer (New York, NY)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It brings more complexity but aligns well with existing space frameworks.
  • Could lead to increased legal work due to challenges against sanctions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Aerospace Industry Executive (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 42 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Sanctions could affect international partnerships but also force better industry practices.
  • Mitigating concerns are mostly operational, not affecting personal life significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Finance Analyst (Chicago, IL)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The industry will become more predictable if countries follow these regulations.
  • Market volatility might increase temporarily, which could affect job security.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Space Policy Consultant (Tucson, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Such legislations are vital for sustainable space conduct.
  • Concerns arise about international tensions escalating albeit leading to thorough diplomacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

High School Science Teacher (Seattle, WA)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 19/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Happy to hear of efforts to maintain our space environment.
  • Such geopolitical actions seem distant from daily life here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Aerospace Sales Representative (Miami, FL)

Age: 33 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like these can help foster fair competitiveness.
  • Business may see reinforced compliance requests, manageable otherwise.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

University Professor of International Relations (Boston, MA)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a noteworthy step in managing space affairs.
  • May expand research opportunities and funding for related studies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $18000000 (Low: $14000000, High: $22000000)

Year 3: $17000000 (Low: $13000000, High: $21000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations