Bill Overview
Title: Withdrawing Russian Support to Peacekeeping Act of 2022
Description: This bill requires U.S. representatives to the United Nations to instruct the U.N.'s Department of Peace Operations (DPO) to (1) direct peacekeepers from Russia to depart from all U.N. peacekeeping missions, and (2) terminate contracts with Russian individuals and entities. If the DPO has not complied with these instructions within a certain time period, the Department of State must withhold funds from the DPO until there is compliance.
Sponsors: Sen. Cassidy, Bill [R-LA]
Target Audience
Population: People living in conflict regions under UN peacekeeping missions
Estimated Size: 0
- There are currently around 70,000 UN peacekeeping personnel deployed worldwide. Russian personnel are a part of this number, albeit a small proportion.
- The bill requires the withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers from all U.N. missions. This would directly impact the peacekeeping missions and the areas they are deployed in, potentially affecting millions of citizens in conflict zones who rely on UN peacekeeping for stability.
- The impact on peacekeeping operations will have a ripple effect on local communities, often resulting in increased insecurity or disruption.
- The financial implications are also significant, as this may affect contracts between Russian entities and the UN, impacting the involved personnel and businesses.
Reasoning
- The impact of this policy on the American population is likely indirect. The direct effects are more politically oriented towards international relations.
- The direct target population, clusters of American citizens possibly aware or concerned about international peacekeeping and global stability might be impacted in terms of perceived safety and international influence.
- Within the budget of $15 million in year 1 and $105 million over 10 years, the primary interactions for Americans could be related to government funding realignment and potential international diplomatic results.
- Ensuring that our sample includes individuals both interested in international policies and those who are not overly involved will provide a balanced view.
Simulated Interviews
Government Analyst (New York, NY)
Age: 45 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I believe the policy will impact global stability, but it might not affect me directly in my day-to-day life.
- Removing Russian peacekeepers could create tension internationally.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
Software Developer (Austin, TX)
Age: 32 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 15/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I honestly don't think this policy affects me at all.
- Policies like this seem distant from my everyday concerns.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 8 |
Activist (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 29 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I am worried about the removal of peacekeepers worsening situations in vulnerable regions.
- This could destabilize peace efforts and harm civilians.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Lobbyist (Washington, D.C.)
Age: 54 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 7.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- There may be some strategic benefits to this policy regarding international negotiations.
- Concerned about its potential negative impact on state relations.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 6 |
Investment Banker (Miami, FL)
Age: 40 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The policy might create some market volatility, but nothing I can't handle.
- It's important for maintaining U.S. influence in global matters.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
College Student (Columbus, OH)
Age: 22 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 9
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 12/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I think it's a bold move, but necessary for U.S. diplomacy.
- Interested to see its implications on global peacekeeping.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 2 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Retired Teacher (Chicago, IL)
Age: 63 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 4.0 years
Commonness: 9/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm generally in favor of peacekeeping missions, and removing personnel could pose risks.
- I hope our government considers the long-term impacts.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 7 |
Freelance Journalist (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 37 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 6.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Removing Russian peacekeepers could have varied consequences on peace operations.
- Potential implications for news stories I cover.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 8 |
Oil Industry Executive (Houston, TX)
Age: 50 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- The policy might make international negotiations trickier for U.S. businesses.
- I'm mainly concerned with maintaining stable relations abroad.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 7 |
Non-Profit Worker (Seattle, WA)
Age: 28 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy might jeopardize aid and security in fragile areas.
- I'm concerned about the impact on the communities we serve.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 6 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $25000000)
Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $25000000)
Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $25000000)
Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $25000000)
Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)
Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)
Key Considerations
- The geopolitical repercussions of reducing Russian involvement in peacekeeping could alter international relations.
- Potential pushback from UN members could require additional diplomatic negotiation or resources.
- It will be essential to monitor increased burdens on U.S. contributions to global peacekeeping efforts.