Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3838

Bill Overview

Title: Asset Seizure for Ukraine Reconstruction Act

Description: This bill authorizes the President to confiscate the property of certain foreign persons (i.e., individuals or entities) that derive wealth through political support for or corruption linked to Russian President Vladimir Putin. The President may also liquidate the confiscated property and use the resulting funds to provide assistance to Ukraine. Specifically, upon a declaration of a national emergency relating to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the President may confiscate the property of such a person if (1) the property is valued at more than $2 million; and (2) the person is subject to U.S. sanctions relating to corruption, human rights violations, Russia's malign influence, or conflicts in Ukraine.

Sponsors: Sen. Whitehouse, Sheldon [D-RI]

Target Audience

Population: Foreign persons with assets linked to Putin and subject to US sanctions

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Software Engineer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's a fair policy considering the aggression against Ukraine and the need for its rebuilding.
  • It's reassuring to know that foreign corrupt assets are being used for a good cause rather than being left unchecked.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 6

Marketing Manager (Dallas, TX)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Not sure how it affects me directly, but I hope any funds used are well accounted for.
  • It's good if it's helping Ukraine, but I don't see any personal impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Nonprofit Worker (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support it wholeheartedly; it's necessary to aid in Ukraine's reconstruction.
  • It shows a stance against corruption tied to aggression.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Lawyer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is interesting legally, but I don't think it impacts Americans directly.
  • There might be complexities for clients with international dealings, but it should be negligible.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think redirecting these funds makes sense financially as it's a wise use of idle capital.
  • It's a step towards justice, though the broader economic implication in Europe interests me more.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Oil Industry Executive (Houston, TX)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This may not affect us directly but could shift some market dynamics, affecting energy prices.
  • International sanctions and policies like this are always of interest to us.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Real Estate Agent (Miami, FL)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Hopefully, it stabilizes the property market locally by reducing international tension.
  • As long as it doesn't impact my clients negatively, it's fine.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Academic Researcher (Boston, MA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I see this as a geopolitically strategic move with potential long-term benefits.
  • It's a positive intervention that speaks volumes about international justice.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Retired Military Officer (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a bold policy that needs careful execution; I see benefits if done right.
  • Supporting Ukraine helps uphold international norms I fought for.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Freelance Journalist (Seattle, WA)

Age: 26 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It sounds like a direct and sensible approach given the circumstances.
  • Good to see international actions taken against corruption and conflict aggression.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $700000000)

Year 2: $200000000 (Low: $100000000, High: $300000000)

Year 3: $100000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $150000000)

Year 5: $50000000 (Low: $25000000, High: $75000000)

Year 10: $25000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $30000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations