Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3770

Bill Overview

Title: PRICE Act

Description: This bill establishes a point of order that prohibits the Senate from considering legislation that would cause a net increase in outlays unless the Congressional Budget Office certifies that inflation is below 3%. The point of order may be waived by an affirmative vote of three-fifths of the Senate.

Sponsors: Sen. Lee, Mike [R-UT]

Target Audience

Population: People globally dealing with inflation impacts

Estimated Size: 330000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Restaurant Manager (New York, NY)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I worry about inflation because if prices go up, the cost to run my restaurant will also rise, affecting my ability to pay employees more.
  • If government spending is restricted, it might hurt local businesses like mine that rely on people having spending cash.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 7

Public School Teacher (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think controlling inflation is important, but I worry about potential cuts to public education if spending is restricted too much.
  • Balancing inflation and necessary government spending seems crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 8

Retired (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned that spending cuts might affect Medicare and Social Security, but I also don't want my savings to lose value due to high inflation.
  • I hope this policy helps strike a balance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 5

Software Developer (Chicago, IL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm not very worried about day-to-day inflation as my job offers reasonable salary hikes, but I do think about long-term investment values.
  • This policy might help stabilize things if it works.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 9

Small Business Owner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If government spending affects loans or small business funds, it could get tricky for us.
  • Inflation control seems important; however, maintaining support for small businesses is necessary.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Nurse (Houston, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Higher inflation makes it tougher to manage basic needs. I'd be worried if government spending was cut, especially around healthcare.
  • The hope is this leads to a stable economy in the long run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Logistics Coordinator (Dallas, TX)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Gas prices are my main concern with inflation. If policy leads to stable energy prices, I'd be supportive.
  • It's crucial for spending cuts not to slow down business growth opportunities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 70 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Inflation eating into my pension is scary. Policy that controls this is comforting as long as it doesn't lead to cuts in essential services for seniors.
  • Balancing is key.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Freelancer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Inflation affects rent and cost of living heavily here. I'm worried about higher costs if the policy doesn't handle inflation effectively.
  • There needs to be room for emergency fixes in spending plans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 8 5

Barista (Portland, OR)

Age: 25 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The rising cost of living makes saving hard. I'm skeptical about how much such policies actually help.
  • Support for education and job creation is equally needed.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $62000000)

Year 3: $54000000 (Low: $44000000, High: $64000000)

Year 5: $60000000 (Low: $50000000, High: $70000000)

Year 10: $80000000 (Low: $70000000, High: $90000000)

Year 100: $200000000 (Low: $160000000, High: $240000000)

Key Considerations