Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3709

Bill Overview

Title: Black Hills Forest Protection and Jobs Preservation Act of 2022

Description: This bill provides for vegetation management projects and timber production projects on certain National Forest System lands in Montana, South Dakota, and Wyoming. The bill directs the Forest Service to issue one or more decisions using expedited authorities for compliance with environmental review requirements to carry out vegetation management projects on land in the Black Hills National Forest. Furthermore, the Forest Service shall categorize the Black Hills National Forest and the Bighorn National Forest as being very high priority for ecological restoration that involves vegetation removal. The Forest Service must also use specified amounts made available for forest thinning and timber harvesting for timber production in the Bighorn National Forest, the Custer Gallatin National Forest, and the Black Hills National Forest. In carrying out such timber production, the Forest Service shall use, to the extent practicable, the categorical exclusion for certain forest management activities and specified emergency action authority. A vegetation management or timber production project carried out under this bill shall not be subject to judicial review. Such a project may not be carried out on (1) a component of the National Wilderness Preservation System, or (2) an inventoried roadless area.

Sponsors: Sen. Thune, John [R-SD]

Target Audience

Population: People affected by the Black Hills Forest Protection and Jobs Preservation Act

Estimated Size: 52000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Forestry Worker (Rapid City, South Dakota)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy will create more job security for me and my coworkers.
  • Environmental concerns might be an issue, but we need more jobs in these areas.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 4

Environmental Activist (Billings, Montana)

Age: 32 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The lack of judicial review makes it difficult to contest projects that might harm the environment.
  • I'm worried about the long-term ecological effects.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 7

Retired Park Ranger (Cheyenne, Wyoming)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for forest management, but I worry about the scale and speed without proper oversight.
  • The views I've enjoyed for decades might change permanently.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 5 7
Year 20 5 7

Tour Guide (Bozeman, Montana)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The projects could alter trails and views that are key selling points of my tours.
  • Short-term gain versus long-term sustainability is always a concern.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 9
Year 20 7 9

Local Government Official (Gillette, Wyoming)

Age: 54 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The additional revenue from timber could support local infrastructure projects.
  • We need to carefully monitor the ecological impact to maintain public support.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 8 8

Community Leader (Pine Ridge Reservation, South Dakota)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Projects could impinge on cultural territories and sacred sites.
  • The community needs a voice in these decisions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 6
Year 5 4 6
Year 10 3 7
Year 20 3 7

Ecological Researcher (Helena, Montana)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The research opportunities are good, but expedited projects could compromise ecological studies.
  • Transparent processes are essential for maintaining trust.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 7
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 7 8

Hotel Owner (Buffalo, Wyoming)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could affect the influx of tourists and consequently my business.
  • Maintaining forest health is critical for long-term business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 9
Year 20 6 9

College Student (Hot Springs, South Dakota)

Age: 29 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a future policy maker, I'm worried about the bypassing of judicial review processes.
  • It's crucial to prioritize sustainable practices in any resource management.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 7
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 8
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 7 8

Retired Logger (Spearfish, South Dakota)

Age: 61 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These initiatives represent a double-edged sword—job opportunities versus the natural balance.
  • The industry needs modern approaches to reduce environmental impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 6 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $150000000 (Low: $120000000, High: $180000000)

Year 2: $152000000 (Low: $122000000, High: $182000000)

Year 3: $154000000 (Low: $124000000, High: $184000000)

Year 5: $158000000 (Low: $128000000, High: $188000000)

Year 10: $165000000 (Low: $135000000, High: $195000000)

Year 100: $300000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $400000000)

Key Considerations