Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3701

Bill Overview

Title: TRUCKERS Act

Description: This bill prohibits the Department of Homeland Security from imposing any COVID-19 vaccination requirement on any commercial truck driver who is a national of Canada or Mexico and seeking to temporarily enter the United States for business through a land port of entry.

Sponsors: Sen. Scott, Rick [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: Commercial truck drivers from Canada and Mexico

Estimated Size: 0

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Logistics Manager (Detroit, MI)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think this policy might help increase efficiency in cross-border logistics.
  • Reducing vaccine requirements for drivers can lower delays, which is good for business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Supply Chain Analyst (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy may streamline operations slightly, but I foresee minimal impact.
  • Driver shortages remain a bigger issue than vaccination rules.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Independent Trucker (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 31 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm a bit worried this will mean more competition from international drivers.
  • Not sure how much impact this has, but I don't think it will help me directly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Customs Officer (Buffalo, NY)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could make crossings more straightforward, but our focus isn't on enforcement of health mandates.
  • I don't think it affects my day-to-day much.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Freight Coordinator (San Diego, CA)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a small change, but could help avoid delays at crossings.
  • Ultimately, supply chain issues need larger solutions.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Trucking Company Owner (Houston, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While removing vaccine restrictions might streamline operations, it opens more competition from abroad.
  • The U.S. trucking industry faces other larger issues.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Cross-Border Trade Consultant (Dallas, TX)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This seems a relatively minor change; the real bottlenecks are elsewhere in the paperwork and regulation.
  • Such policies often serve political, not practical, purposes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Economic Researcher (Chicago, IL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's unclear if this will significantly impact local economies.
  • Vaccination rules are a small piece of the cross-border trade puzzle.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Retired Trucker (Miami, FL)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't think this will affect the industry significantly.
  • When I was working, other factors were way more pressing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

International Trade Lawyer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policies like these create more awareness than actual impact.
  • Clients are concerned more with tariffs and border security, not vaccine requirements.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $-5000000, High: $5000000)

Key Considerations