Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3695

Bill Overview

Title: IMF Accountability Act of 2022

Description: This bill imposes requirements on U.S. representatives to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) with regard to certain issues involving China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua, or Afghanistan while under Taliban control. The President or any U.S. representative to the IMF may not vote to allocate Special Drawing Rights (SDR) to any of these countries unless Congress authorizes such a vote. (The SDR is an international reserve asset maintained by the IMF based on contributions from IMF member countries. SDRs may be exchanged between member countries and may also be exchanged for currencies.) The bill also requires the Department of the Treasury to direct U.S. representatives to the IMF to oppose any proposal that (1) increases the IMF quota of any of these countries, or (2) modifies certain policies if the modification would allow the IMF to provide funding to any of these countries. (A country's quota determines, among other things, that country's voting power in IMF decisions and access to IMF financing.)

Sponsors: Sen. Scott, Rick [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: People in China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua, and Afghanistan under Taliban control

Estimated Size: 30000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

International Trade Consultant (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the intent behind the policy, but it could complicate trade negotiations with countries where my clients do business.
  • Increased restrictions might mean fewer opportunities for my clients, which can affect my business too.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 5 7
Year 5 5 8
Year 10 6 8
Year 20 6 9

Policy Analyst (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 34 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy might streamline our foreign economic strategies but could also limit diplomatic flexibility.
  • It could potentially strengthen U.S. positions on matters concerning these countries.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 8

Cuban-American Entrepreneur (Miami, Florida)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If the policy affects our ability to trade, this could impact the growth of my business.
  • Cuba's economic isolation as a result of tightening global financial policies worries me.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 5 9
Year 10 6 9
Year 20 7 9

Energy Sector Executive (Houston, Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy introduces hurdles in securing deals and investments with Russian entities.
  • May need to diversify international partnerships beyond the listed countries.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 9
Year 2 7 9
Year 3 7 9
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 8 10
Year 20 9 10

Graduate Student (New York, New York)

Age: 23 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy shift appears to symbolize a more assertive U.S. foreign policy.
  • While academically intriguing, it raises questions about long-term impacts on multilateral cooperation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 6 7

Financial Analyst (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could add complexity to projections and risk assessments involving these countries.
  • Changes might lead to shifts in investment strategies.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 6 9
Year 10 7 9
Year 20 8 10

Retired Diplomat (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 60 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy reinforces standing U.S. apprehensions about these countries' IMF roles.
  • I am concerned about possible strain it might place on diplomatic relations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Tech Entrepreneur (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm worried about access to potential markets being further restricted.
  • This policy could encumber our expansion plans.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 8
Year 3 5 8
Year 5 5 9
Year 10 5 9
Year 20 6 9

Non-Profit Worker (San Francisco, California)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Although aimed at reducing economic leverage of certain regimes, this might impact general populations in those regions.
  • Humanitarian efforts could become more challenging.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 3 5
Year 5 3 6
Year 10 4 6
Year 20 5 7

Automotive Industry Executive (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • These policy changes could complicate supply chain strategies involving materials from these countries.
  • Prepared for increased geopolitical risks affecting inventory.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 6 8
Year 5 7 9
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 8 10

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 2: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 3: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 5: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Key Considerations