Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3683

Bill Overview

Title: Alaska Tourism Restoration Extension Act

Description: This bill extends for one year the authority for specified foreign-owned and -flagged cruise ships to transport passengers directly between ports in the states of Washington and Alaska without stopping in Canada. Under current law, these ships cannot transport passengers from one U.S. port to another without stopping in a foreign country. The bill applies to any foreign voyage that begins any date prior to February 28, 2023, on which Canada prohibits a vessel from berthing or docking in Canadian waters of the Pacific Coast due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Sponsors: Sen. Murkowski, Lisa [R-AK]

Target Audience

Population: People involved in or benefiting from the Alaska tourism and cruise industry

Estimated Size: 2000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Small Hotel Owner (Juneau, Alaska)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The extended bill is crucial for my business, as cruise ships bring a major portion of our annual guests.
  • Without the dock in Canada, we'll retain our bookings.
  • If the situation worsens and we can't have tourists back, I might have to lay off staff.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 2

Port Worker (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy gives stability to my job through this cruise season.
  • It ensures our port stays busy, otherwise work hours are reduced.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 3 3

Tour Guide (Anchorage, Alaska)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This bill extension is a lifeline, as it keeps tourists visiting.
  • The lack of a stopover in Canada opens up more opportunities to attract tourists.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 3
Year 3 5 3
Year 5 4 3
Year 10 3 3
Year 20 3 2

Cruise Passenger (Portland, Oregon)

Age: 35 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Policy makes it simpler to travel without worrying about additional restrictions in Canada.
  • It might make cruises more attractive and affordable.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 4

Maritime Industry Analyst (Vancouver, Canada)

Age: 44 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Although I'm not directly impacted by the policy, I am observing the shifts in cruise patterns.
  • It brings a mixed economic impact transboundary; benefits to US ports but losses to Canadian ones.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Souvenir Shop Owner (Sitka, Alaska)

Age: 52 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am hopeful the extension of this policy will bring more tourists and boost my sales.
  • The lack of Canadian stopover simplifies itinerary planning for cruise lines and passengers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 7 4
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 2

Port Authority Health Inspector (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 27 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy impacts the volume of cruise traffic directly, ensuring more stable work.
  • Without the policy, layoff risks increase during cruise downtime.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 6 4
Year 10 5 3
Year 20 4 3

Travel Blogger (Boston, Massachusetts)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy makes cruising more accessible and is likely content-worthy for my blog.
  • Procedure simplification helps in promoting more cruise content back to followers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 4 5

Independent Travel Agent (Spokane, Washington)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Customers want uninterrupted itineraries; this policy could drive bookings back up.
  • Loss of Canadian stopovers simplify arrangements, making my job easier.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 5 3
Year 10 4 3
Year 20 4 3

School Teacher (Houston, Texas)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • With this policy, our planned cruise trip becomes less complicated.
  • Travel restrictions can be a hazard; simpler rules make it easy to enjoy vacations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $1000000 (Low: $500000, High: $1500000)

Year 2: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 3: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 5: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations