Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3653

Bill Overview

Title: Protecting Federal Funds from Human Trafficking and Smuggling Act of 2022

Description: This bill prohibits a nonprofit entity from receiving federal funds (and denies a tax exemption) unless the entity certifies compliance with certain federal laws (e.g., laws with respect to human trafficking and smuggling). It also establishes reporting requirements, including that the Government Accountability Office must annually report to Congress on those nonprofit entities that do not certify their compliance with these laws.

Sponsors: Sen. Kennedy, John [R-LA]

Target Audience

Population: People served by US-federally funded nonprofits worldwide

Estimated Size: 100000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Nonprofit Executive Director (New York, NY)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm in favor of ensuring compliance to prevent human trafficking funding abuses.
  • However, the upfront costs of compliance can be burdensome for small organizations.
  • Long-term, it could improve credibility and trust in the sector.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 9 7

Social Worker (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy ensures nonprofits are doing what they claim, which is good.
  • A potential drawback is service disruption if compliance leads to reduced resources.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Human Rights Advocate (Austin, TX)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support the intent but worry about overregulation.
  • Nonprofits already struggle with funding; compliance shouldn't be an additional burden.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

Financial Auditor (Seattle, WA)

Age: 51 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Greater transparency and accountability are crucial in this sector.
  • It will drive more demand for our services as compliance efforts increase.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Grad Student (Chicago, IL)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could improve efficiency in federal fund allocation.
  • I'm concerned about the potential drawbacks on service availability in the short run.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 10 9

Retired (Miami, FL)

Age: 66 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My worry is about funds being correctly used to actually help people.
  • Having more checks might be beneficial, but it should not stop services.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Nonprofit Manager (Denver, CO)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We're glad this could prevent misuse of funds, aligning with our values.
  • However, balancing compliance with service delivery is challenging.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Nonprofit Board Member (Portland, OR)

Age: 54 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's essential that taxpayer money isn't supporting illegal activities.
  • Ensuring compliance is vital, even if it requires changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Policy Analyst (Boston, MA)

Age: 26 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This appears to be moving towards more stringent auditing of funds, which is promising.
  • It might press nonprofits to innovate in managing funds effectively.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 4
Year 2 5 4
Year 3 5 4
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 8 6

Civil Rights Lawyer (Dallas, TX)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Greater oversight is crucial in preventing abuse of federal funds.
  • It might help curb illegal activities funded indirectly by federal grants.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $42000000, High: $62000000)

Year 3: $54000000 (Low: $44000000, High: $64000000)

Year 5: $58000000 (Low: $47000000, High: $69000000)

Year 10: $65000000 (Low: $52000000, High: $78000000)

Year 100: $250000000 (Low: $200000000, High: $300000000)

Key Considerations