Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3638

Bill Overview

Title: Keep STEM Talent Act of 2022

Description: This bill exempts certain aliens with advanced degrees in a science, technology, engineering, or mathematics (STEM) field from direct limitations on the number of immigrant visas granted per year. Specifically, the alien must (1) have earned a master's level or higher degree in certain STEM fields while in the United States attending an accredited higher education institution, (2) be employed (or have a job offer) in a field related to the degree and earn at least the median wage for that occupation, and (3) meet certain labor certification requirements. The bill also allows an alien seeking a nonimmigrant F-1 (student) visa to obtain an advanced STEM degree to have dual intent. Specifically, such an alien may obtain the nonimmigrant visa or change nonimmigrant status even if the alien intends to seek lawful permanent resident status. (Generally, an alien may be denied a nonimmigrant visa if the alien actually intends to seek immigrant status, unless dual intent is allowed for that type of visa.)

Sponsors: Sen. Durbin, Richard J. [D-IL]

Target Audience

Population: International STEM graduates in the United States

Estimated Size: 200000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Computer Scientist (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a big relief. Before, I was constantly worried about the H-1B visa lottery and the stress of not getting selected.
  • Now, I can focus on my job and career development without the looming threat of having to leave the country.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

Petroleum Engineer (Houston, TX)

Age: 30 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I was planning to return to Venezuela as my work visa would eventually expire, but this gives me a chance to build a long-term career here.
  • It provides stability and encourages me to put down roots in the U.S.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 8 3
Year 20 8 3

Biotech Researcher (Boston, MA)

Age: 35 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I am not directly affected, as I already have plans to transition to a green card, but it will make the process smoother and less stressful for many colleagues.
  • It helps to know that there's a policy making it easier to attract and retain talent here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Data Scientist (Chicago, IL)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I was nervous about my future here as the work visa was uncertain.
  • This policy will help those with real talent to work without the visa worries holding them back.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 8 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 9 4

Urban Planner (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I am already in line for a green card, this policy reassures me that STEM graduates are valued in the U.S.
  • It's a positive step for those who may not have the immediate option of permanent residency.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 9 9
Year 20 9 9

Software Developer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 29 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy supports people like me who are crucial to tech growth but face uncertainty due to visa restrictions.
  • I can now consider a more stable future here.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 9 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 10 5

Mechanical Engineer (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 22 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I have always dreamed of building my career in the U.S., but without a clear residency path, it's daunting.
  • This policy alleviates some of those fears and allows me to plan for the long term.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 4
Year 5 9 4
Year 10 9 4
Year 20 10 4

Civil Engineer (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 17/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While I am not directly affected, this policy is beneficial because it helps my younger colleagues find stability.
  • I see a lot of potential talent leaving without options, and this counteracts that trend.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Environmental Scientist (Denver, CO)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy aligns well with my situation, even though I have Canadian citizenship as a backup.
  • It's one less worry about the future for those who want to commit to staying in the U.S.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

University Professor (Austin, TX)

Age: 40 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 9

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 18/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is more important for my students than for me, as it gives them much needed peace of mind about staying here post-graduation.
  • It keeps the talent pipeline flowing, which benefits both academia and industry.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 9 9
Year 2 9 9
Year 3 9 9
Year 5 9 9
Year 10 10 9
Year 20 10 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $40000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $65000000)

Year 3: $40000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $65000000)

Year 5: $20000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $45000000)

Year 10: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations