Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3584

Bill Overview

Title: Countering Corporate Corruption in China Act of 2022

Description: This bill expands the activity prohibited under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) applicable to issuers of securities, domestic concerns, and others. (The FCPA generally prohibits bribes to foreign officials.) For example, the bill includes as prohibited corrupt practices certain activity supporting human rights abuses by China against Uyghurs, Kazakhs, and members of other predominately Muslim ethnic groups; certain activity supporting censorship or human rights abuses by China with respect to individuals in Hong Kong; supporting certain territorial claims by China; political advocacy in favor of the Chinese Communist Party; and investing in specified Chinese entities.

Sponsors: Sen. Rubio, Marco [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals working for companies involved in or preventing corrupt practices in China

Estimated Size: 1000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

CEO of a tech company (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm concerned about the potential operational disruptions this policy could cause.
  • While I'm supportive of human rights initiatives, the new regulations might force us to reconsider our business strategy in China.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 4 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 5 6
Year 20 6 7

Investment Manager (New York, NY)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy could significantly impact the portfolios I manage.
  • Potential prohibitions could cause market instability temporarily.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 7
Year 2 6 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 7 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 10

Compliance Officer in a multinational corporation (Dallas, TX)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This places more burden on our compliance teams.
  • It aligns with ethical business practices but increases our work.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Political Analyst (Chicago, IL)

Age: 51 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a strategic move to address broader geopolitical issues.
  • However, the effectiveness of this policy needs consistent enforcement.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Graduate Student in International Law (Boston, MA)

Age: 27 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy represents a significant milestone in international human rights advocacy.
  • I'm curious to see its real-world impact on business ethics.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Small Business Owner (Seattle, WA)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I support ethical business practices, but I fear this policy could increase costs.
  • It might push me to seek alternative suppliers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Human Rights Activist (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy is a positive step, though it requires thorough global cooperation.
  • I'm hopeful it will pressure companies to reassess their international operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 9
Year 5 8 9
Year 10 9 10
Year 20 9 10

Energy Sector Executive (Houston, TX)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could endanger our partnerships and projects in China.
  • We need to evaluate our business practices to align with new regulations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 5
Year 2 4 5
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 6
Year 10 6 7
Year 20 7 8

Financial Analyst (Miami, FL)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy could disrupt investment plans, making my role more challenging.
  • I'm apprehensive about the effects on the stock market.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 7
Year 5 6 7
Year 10 7 8
Year 20 8 9

Government Official (Washington, DC)

Age: 63 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's vital to uphold ethical trade practices while balancing international relations.
  • The policy is a step in the right direction, though enforcement is key.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 9
Year 20 9 9

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $30000000)

Year 2: $22000000 (Low: $16000000, High: $34000000)

Year 3: $24000000 (Low: $17000000, High: $36000000)

Year 5: $26000000 (Low: $18000000, High: $40000000)

Year 10: $30000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $50000000)

Year 100: $500000000 (Low: $300000000, High: $600000000)

Key Considerations