Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3582

Bill Overview

Title: Political CRIMES Act

Description: This bill addresses unlawful political activity by specified federal officials and revises the penalties for unlawful political activity by executive branch employees. Specifically, the bill directs the Department of Justice (DOJ) to conduct a preliminary investigation when it receives information sufficient to constitute grounds to investigate whether the President, Vice President, or other senior officials violated laws regarding political activities between January 20, 2009, and January 21, 2021. If further investigation is warranted, DOJ must apply for the appointment of an independent counsel. The bill limits the political activity of the President and Vice President while on federal property. Additionally, the bill increases criminal penalties for Hatch Act violations. The Hatch Act prohibits civil service employees in the executive branch of the federal government from engaging in some forms of political activity (e.g., advocating for or against a partisan political party while on duty). The purpose of the act is to maintain a federal workforce free from partisan political influence or coercion. The bill establishes an Inspector General for the Office of Special Counsel. The Government Accountability Office must report to Congress on certain reimbursable political events held at the White House or on the White House grounds.

Sponsors: Sen. Warren, Elizabeth [D-MA]

Target Audience

Population: Federal executive branch civil service employees

Estimated Size: 2100000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Senior Executive Assistant (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The heightened scrutiny and independent counsel investigations are reassuring, suggesting checks on power abuses.
  • While policy restrictions don't impact my day-to-day, they ensure ethical compliance across the board.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Civil Service Employee (Houston, Texas)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I don't see this policy affecting my role directly since I'm not in federal political circles.
  • However, knowing that there are stricter measures on executive misconduct makes me more confident in our leadership's integrity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Retired Federal Executive (New York, New York)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Retrospective investigations could reignite past controversies but also bring clarity to unresolved issues.
  • Increased oversight today promotes a cleaner future for current officeholders.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 5 4

Federal Policy Analyst (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Stronger enforcement mechanisms seem beneficial both in maintaining neutrality and punishing misconduct effectively.
  • However, I worry about potential bureaucratic slowdowns as new oversight layers are added.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Labor Union Representative for Federal Workers (Springfield, Illinois)

Age: 61 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While rooting out corruption is essential, the approach shouldn't demoralize employees.
  • Would prefer broader safeguards against misuse of new powers.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 4

Operations Manager (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This doesn't impact my work life directly, but I appreciate efforts to enhance governmental ethical standards.
  • The potential for bureaucratic congestion concerns me somewhat.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Political Science Professor (Atlanta, Georgia)

Age: 33 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The political landscape today demands stricter adherence to ethics in politics, and this bill contributes positively.
  • I'm skeptical of political motives behind investigations, yet they play a necessary part in accountability.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 9 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Senior Federal Ethics Officer (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 50 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Adds necessary checks within the federal system, ensuring actions align with ethical standards.
  • Concerns about potential for misuse or politicization of the process, requiring balance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 6

Federal Prosecutor (Baltimore, Maryland)

Age: 57 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The political CRIMES Act strengthens our ability to curb political abuses effectively.
  • Ensures that justice is impartial and free from political influences.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 7 5

Human Resources Manager for Federal Agency (Denver, Colorado)

Age: 48 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Happy to see efforts to improve ethics in governance, but hope it doesn't affect workforce morale negatively.
  • Clarity in applications of the policy is essential to avoid confusion.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $20000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $25000000)

Year 2: $18000000 (Low: $14000000, High: $22000000)

Year 3: $18000000 (Low: $13000000, High: $23000000)

Year 5: $17000000 (Low: $12000000, High: $22000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $1500000 (Low: $1000000, High: $2000000)

Key Considerations