Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3580

Bill Overview

Title: Ocean Shipping Reform Act of 2022

Description: This act revises requirements governing ocean shipping to increase the authority of the Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) to promote the growth and development of U.S. exports through an ocean transportation system that is competitive, efficient, and economical. For example, the bill requires the FMC to (1) investigate complaints about detention and demurrage charges (i.e., late fees) charged by common ocean carriers, (2) determine whether those charges are reasonable, and (3) order refunds for unreasonable charges. It also prohibits common ocean carriers, marine terminal operators, or ocean transportation intermediaries from unreasonably refusing cargo space when available or resorting to other unfair or unjustly discriminatory methods.

Sponsors: Sen. Klobuchar, Amy [D-MN]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals affected by changes in international shipping and trade regulations

Estimated Size: 50000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Logistics Manager (Los Angeles, California)

Age: 45 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This law could streamline some of our operations, but it also means adjustments to how we manage cargo space.
  • Finding the right balance to follow the new regulations without overcommitting space will be challenging.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Manufacturing Export Specialist (Chicago, Illinois)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The ability to reliably secure shipping space could significantly improve our delivery timelines.
  • It might mean a better service for our clients abroad, which could enhance our company's reputation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 8 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 9 5
Year 20 9 5

International Trade Economist (New York, New York)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This act could potentially boost U.S. export capacity, but only time will reveal its effectiveness.
  • There are many moving parts in global trade, and one policy might not have a sweeping impact.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Farmer (Houston, Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • If this helps keep shipping rates stable or lowers them, it could be beneficial for us farmers.
  • Small disruptions in logistic chains can lead to big problems when exporting produce.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 7 5

Tech Entrepreneur (San Francisco, California)

Age: 38 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • While this policy is not directly related to imports, shifts in export efficiency may influence import logistics indirectly.
  • Keeping an eye on changes in shipping times and costs will be crucial.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Marine Terminal Operator (Miami, Florida)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Adjusting to fair cargo space allocation will require us to revisit our logistics protocols.
  • Ensuring compliance might add some workload initially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 8 6

Agricultural Distributor (Seattle, Washington)

Age: 40 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Any improvements to fair space allocation could help reduce overhead costs and spoilage due to delays.
  • Better shipping reliability would enhance our delivery promises.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 9 6
Year 20 9 6

Automotive Export Coordinator (Detroit, Michigan)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The reform could streamline some of our shipping processes, although its long-term effects remain to be seen.
  • It's crucial to have predictable logistics to manage our manufacturing output appropriately.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

International Trade Consultant (Baltimore, Maryland)

Age: 27 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • My clients might find it easier to guarantee shipping availability, potentially reducing costs and improving delivery speed.
  • A more predictable shipping environment would be beneficial for new exporters.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Retail Buyer (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 47 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Although my job focuses on imports, any improvement in the logistics chain due to changes in export regulations could end up affecting import dynamics.
  • We have to keep watch for any changes that ripple through the supply chain.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $40000000, High: $60000000)

Year 2: $51500000 (Low: $40500000, High: $61500000)

Year 3: $53045000 (Low: $41410000, High: $62670000)

Year 5: $56203635 (Low: $43874394, High: $65181981)

Year 10: $61748494 (Low: $47647800, High: $68770843)

Year 100: $11258999068426240 (Low: $8671199316538240, High: $15049679089642016)

Key Considerations