Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3573

Bill Overview

Title: A bill to direct the Secretary of State to seek to enter into negotiations with the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office to rename its office the "Taiwan Representative Office", and for other purposes.

Description: This bill requires the Department of State to seek to enter into negotiations with the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office (TECRO) to rename its office in Washington, DC, the Taiwan Representative Office. (The U.S.-Taiwan relationship is unofficial, and TECRO is Taiwan's principal representative office in the United States.)

Sponsors: Sen. Rubio, Marco [R-FL]

Target Audience

Population: People interested in U.S.-Taiwan diplomatic relations

Estimated Size: 25000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

International Relations Analyst (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 2.0 years

Commonness: 15/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I believe a name change is symbolic but important in reflecting the nature of the U.S.-Taiwan relationship.
  • This could slightly alter the geopolitical balance, but major impacts are unlikely without further diplomatic changes.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Business Executive (New York, NY)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This seems like a minor but necessary step for acknowledging realities in international affairs.
  • Our business relies on stable U.S.-China relations; I watch these developments with interest.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Graduate Student (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 24 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As someone studying international law, this is fascinating but seems more symbolic than impactful.
  • I doubt this change will heavily affect the wellbeing of people outside diplomatic circles.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Retired Diplomat (Houston, TX)

Age: 64 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Name changes like this help clarify international standings and are quite significant for U.S-Taiwan relations.
  • I hope it represents the beginning of a more open dialogue on Taiwan's international status.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Software Engineer (Seattle, WA)

Age: 41 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This is a thoughtful change that shows respect and acknowledgment towards Taiwan.
  • While it doesn’t impact my day-to-day life, it’s a welcome change that positively affects national identity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

News Reporter (Chicago, IL)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This development could generate public and political discussions worth covering in detail.
  • It doesn’t directly impact wellbeing but enriches the scope of my reporting activities.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Policy Advisor (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 37 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Small but meaningful steps like this can adjust international dynamics slowly and steadily.
  • While there won't be immediate changes, it positions Taiwan's status for open dialogue.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

High School Teacher (Miami, FL)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This name change is a useful educational point about symbolism in international relations.
  • On a day-to-day level, it won't change much for most of us unless broader policies follow.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Advocacy Group Leader (Boston, MA)

Age: 62 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This change is a small step towards Taiwan's international recognition, which is encouraging.
  • It's a positive move but only a part of the larger puzzle of international advocacy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

NGO Worker (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 47 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's a step towards consistency in representing Taiwan's office, reflecting its unique role.
  • My role will likely see heightened activity in diplomatically sensitive projects involving Taiwan.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $1000000)

Year 2: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $1000000)

Year 3: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $1000000)

Year 5: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $1000000)

Year 10: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $1000000)

Year 100: $500000 (Low: $250000, High: $1000000)

Key Considerations