Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3550

Bill Overview

Title: Ethics Reform Act

Description: This bill establishes a number of ethics requirements for members of Congress and the President and Vice President. Specifically, the bill prohibits members of Congress from buying or selling individual securities other than widely held investment funds; prohibits former members of Congress from engaging in certain compensated lobbying activities; requires the Internal Revenue Service to disclose tax return information of candidates for President and Vice President; and prohibits the President, Vice President, Cabinet, and their immediate family members from raising funds from certain foreign entities. The bill also prohibits contributions or donations by foreign nationals in connection with state or local ballot initiatives or referenda.

Sponsors: Sen. Sasse, Ben [R-NE]

Target Audience

Population: Current and future members of Congress, the President, Vice President, and their immediate families

Estimated Size: 600

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

U.S. Senator (Washington, D.C.)

Age: 52 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 1/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy limits my ability to manage my personal financial portfolio.
  • Hopefully this will enhance public trust, but it will change the way I and my colleagues need to plan financially.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 8
Year 2 7 8
Year 3 7 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 9 8

State Legislature Member (Harrisburg, PA)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Changes at the federal level might influence how we operate at the state level.
  • While I'm not personally affected, this could change the dynamics around lobbying.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Lobbyist (Houston, TX)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This significantly impacts my business since former Congress members can't lobby as freely.
  • It changes my career outlook significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 6
Year 2 4 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Financial Analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 32 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy doesn't directly affect me, but I see the value in transparency and reduced foreign influences.
  • It might change the dynamics of political donations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 6 5
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 6 5
Year 20 6 5

Software Developer (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: other

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is of general interest, and I support any move toward clearer governance.
  • I don't see a direct impact on my personal life or profession.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Former Presidential Candidate (Chicago, IL)

Age: 48 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The requirement for tax return disclosure is something I support as a means to maintain trust.
  • I believe this is a necessary step for presidential integrity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

CEO of a tech company (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 37 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • We are being careful to ensure compliance with all foreign contribution rules.
  • Though the policy doesn't directly affect us yet, any slip could impact business operations.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Political Donor (Miami, FL)

Age: 40 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The restrictions on foreign contributions might alter campaign dynamics, but we comply with all regulations.
  • Interested to see if this changes the transparency in fund collections.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

High School Teacher (St. Louis, MO)

Age: 56 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy provides a real-world example for my students about government accountability.
  • I appreciate any measures that improve ethical governance.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Vice President of a lobbying firm (Raleigh, NC)

Age: 47 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy limits my firm's operations and potentially reduces our client base.
  • We'll need to adapt our strategies moving forward with more restrictions in place.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 6
Year 2 5 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $80000000)

Year 2: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $80000000)

Year 3: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $80000000)

Year 5: $25000000 (Low: $15000000, High: $40000000)

Year 10: $15000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $20000000)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations