Bill Overview
Title: Crime Doesn’t Fly Act of 2022
Description: This bill prohibits the use of warrants for the arrest, removal, or deportation of an alien as proof of identity at an airport security checkpoint unless the alien is being removed from the United States pursuant to immigration laws.
Sponsors: Sen. Daines, Steve [R-MT]
Target Audience
Population: Non-citizens who might be undocumented or have immigration-related legal issues worldwide
Estimated Size: 15000000
- The bill prohibits the use of immigration warrants as proof of identity at airport checkpoints.
- This particularly affects non-citizens, especially those who might be undocumented or have immigration-related legal issues that result in a warrant being issued.
- Air travel is a common mode of transportation worldwide, meaning the policy could impact international as well as domestic travelers.
- Non-citizens include those on visas, working, studying, or visiting the U.S.
Reasoning
- The policy affects non-citizens who may use warrants as identification for domestic air travel. This implies indirect identification issues that could impact travel plans and thus wellbeing.
- Considering there are about 11 million undocumented immigrants in the U.S., not everyone will be affected equally as not all will have warrants or need to travel by air.
- The policy might induce fear or discourage travel among undocumented immigrants, potentially affecting their wellbeing by limiting their mobility or creating stress around travel.
- The budget restricts the scale of the program, capping its implemented impact. Given the large population potentially impacted, coverage may need prioritization based on risk or frequency of domestic travel.
Simulated Interviews
Student (Los Angeles, CA)
Age: 32 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 6
Duration of Impact: 5.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm worried that this policy will make traveling for research presentations more difficult.
- I already feel anxious about being questioned while traveling, so this adds to the stress.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 2 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 10 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 20 | 7 | 8 |
Construction Worker (Houston, TX)
Age: 45 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 4
Duration of Impact: 10.0 years
Commonness: 3/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy might stop me from visiting family in another state because I can't use a warrant as ID.
- I feel trapped and even thought of flying makes me anxious.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Year 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Year 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Software Developer (Chicago, IL)
Age: 28 | Gender: other
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I don't think this affects me much as I have proper ID for travel.
- However, I'm worried about colleagues who might struggle due to this policy.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Small Business Owner (Miami, FL)
Age: 60 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 1.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This policy is more of a headache than anything substantial since I have identification.
- But I can imagine it causing issues for my employees who are undocumented.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 8 |
Au Pair (New York, NY)
Age: 22 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 2.0 years
Commonness: 7/20
Statement of Opinion:
- My immediate concern is minimal since I don't have a warrant; however, my host family can't travel freely.
- It adds an extra layer of concern to traveling with the family.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Senior Caretaker (Phoenix, AZ)
Age: 50 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 9
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 8/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I'm not affected directly but I worry about people I know who can't fly now.
- This could make it tougher to manage our families' movements for emergencies.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 3 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 5 | 9 | 10 |
| Year 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Year 20 | 10 | 10 |
IT Support Specialist (Seattle, WA)
Age: 40 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 0.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I don't foresee issues as I travel under a business visa, but procedural changes are concerning.
- The company HR is looking into this, but our travel plans might be disrupted minimally.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 9 |
Chef (San Diego, CA)
Age: 38 | Gender: male
Wellbeing Before Policy: 5
Duration of Impact: 7.0 years
Commonness: 4/20
Statement of Opinion:
- This means I might not visit my family outside of California.
- I feel my world shrinking because of these policies.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Year 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Year 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Year 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Year 10 | 5 | 6 |
| Year 20 | 6 | 6 |
Accountant (San Francisco, CA)
Age: 27 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 7
Duration of Impact: 1.5 years
Commonness: 5/20
Statement of Opinion:
- I might need to assist friends who can't travel as easily due to this.
- A few friends have immigration-related concerns, and this complicates our travel plans.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 7 | 7 |
| Year 2 | 6 | 7 |
| Year 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 20 | 8 | 9 |
Graduate Researcher (Boston, MA)
Age: 30 | Gender: female
Wellbeing Before Policy: 8
Duration of Impact: 3.0 years
Commonness: 6/20
Statement of Opinion:
- Direct impact is limited but collaborative work could be hampered if fellow researchers face travel hurdles.
- Our conference plans might have to be adjusted depending on team members' situations.
Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)
| Year | With Policy | Without Policy |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Year 3 | 8 | 8 |
| Year 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Year 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Year 20 | 9 | 10 |
Cost Estimates
Year 1: $12000000 (Low: $10000000, High: $15000000)
Year 2: $12500000 (Low: $10500000, High: $15500000)
Year 3: $12900000 (Low: $10900000, High: $16000000)
Year 5: $14000000 (Low: $11500000, High: $17500000)
Year 10: $16000000 (Low: $13000000, High: $20000000)
Year 100: $25000000 (Low: $20000000, High: $30000000)
Key Considerations
- Training and changes in TSA protocol could temporarily strain resources.
- There might be legal challenges or changes in immigration enforcement prioritization due to the bill.
- The bill could influence patterns of air travel among undocumented and documented immigrants needing to fly domestically or internationally.