Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3519

Bill Overview

Title: Butterfield Overland National Historic Trail Designation Act

Description: This act designates the trail extending approximately 3,292 miles and following the route operated by the Butterfield Overland Mail Company, known as the Ox-Bow Route, to transport mail and passengers between the eastern end points of St. Louis, Missouri, and Memphis, Tennessee, and extending westward through the states of Arkansas, Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, and Arizona, to the western end point of San Francisco, California, as the Butterfield Overland National Historic Trail. The United States shall not acquire for the trail any land or interest in land outside of the exterior boundary of any federally administered area without the consent of the owner of such land or interest in land. The Department of the Interior may not use eminent domain or condemnation in carrying out this act.

Sponsors: Sen. Boozman, John [R-AR]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals living near, using, or interested in the Butterfield Overland National Historic Trail

Estimated Size: 5000000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Elementary School Teacher (Springfield, Missouri)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I'm excited about the potential for more educational resources related to the trail.
  • This could introduce more school activities focusing on local history, which the students enjoy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 8 6
Year 20 9 6

Small Business Owner (San Francisco, California)

Age: 55 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • More tourists might increase business, but I'm worried about how much will be done to promote the trail.
  • Hopefully, the trail's recognition brings more visitors.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Environmental Scientist (Phoenix, Arizona)

Age: 30 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I hope this policy includes measures to preserve natural habitats along the trail.
  • Tourism should be managed to avoid environmental degradation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 7 7

Retired (Tucson, Arizona)

Age: 60 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a history aficionado, it's exciting to have the trail recognized.
  • I'm concerned about over-development disrupting the serene experience of the trail.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 8 8
Year 20 8 8

Graduate Student (Little Rock, Arkansas)

Age: 25 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 3/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This designation might provide new primary sources and historical documentation for my research.
  • Additional funding for historical trails can enhance academic growth.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Park Ranger (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The trail's designation should help improve resources for maintaining it, which is much needed.
  • I hope it will create more awareness about our national parks.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 10 7

Retired (Memphis, Tennessee)

Age: 67 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's great that national heritage is being preserved, but I'm worried about increased taxes or fees.
  • Hopefully, the community can benefit without too much disruption.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 7 6
Year 5 7 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

College Student (Albuquerque, New Mexico)

Age: 20 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This could be a great case study for my coursework on tourism.
  • More visitors might help grow our local travel business.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 6 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 7 5
Year 20 6 5

Real Estate Agent (Dallas, Texas)

Age: 50 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 15.0 years

Commonness: 4/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This trail designation might drive up property values, which is good for business.
  • I am concerned about whether the infrastructure can handle increased visitation.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 9 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 8 7

Tour Guide (Fresno, California)

Age: 36 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The designation is a plus for tourism, which can provide more business for tour guides like me.
  • It's important to balance the increase in tourists with the preservation of the trail's authenticity.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 8 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 6
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 7 6

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $5000000 (Low: $4000000, High: $6000000)

Year 2: $2000000 (Low: $1500000, High: $2500000)

Year 3: $1000000 (Low: $800000, High: $1200000)

Year 5: $1000000 (Low: $800000, High: $1200000)

Year 10: $1000000 (Low: $800000, High: $1200000)

Year 100: $1000000 (Low: $800000, High: $1200000)

Key Considerations