Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3481

Bill Overview

Title: Preventing Violence Against Female Inmates Act of 2022

Description: This bill establishes a framework to prohibit correctional institutions at the federal and state levels from using gender identity to house inmates of one biological sex with inmates of the other biological sex.

Sponsors: Sen. Cotton, Tom [R-AR]

Target Audience

Population: Female inmates in correctional institutions

Estimated Size: 152000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Inmate (California)

Age: 35 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I feel uncomfortable sharing space with trans women who are physically stronger.
  • Safety is a concern, but I also worry about offending others by expressing my discomfort.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 5

Correctional Officer (New York)

Age: 28 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy would likely reduce incidents I've had to manage.
  • It might make my job easier in terms of inmate management and safety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 6
Year 2 7 6
Year 3 8 6
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Inmate (Texas)

Age: 42 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've feared for my safety multiple times.
  • A policy change could help me live with less anxiety.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 3
Year 2 6 3
Year 3 6 4
Year 5 7 4
Year 10 8 4
Year 20 8 4

Inmate (Florida)

Age: 31 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's intimidating sharing spaces with anyone much larger or stronger than me.
  • I hope the policy can support rehabilitation by creating a safer environment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 5
Year 2 7 5
Year 3 7 5
Year 5 8 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 9 6

Inmate (Illinois)

Age: 38 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 2

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Every day is about trying to avoid trouble.
  • This law might reduce daily stress and physical fear.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 2
Year 2 5 3
Year 3 6 3
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 4
Year 20 7 4

Social Worker (Georgia)

Age: 25 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 6.0 years

Commonness: 11/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Female inmates deserve to feel secure just like anyone else.
  • This act aligns with measures necessary for broader reform.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 9 7
Year 10 9 7
Year 20 9 7

Inmate (Ohio)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 2

Duration of Impact: 20.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I've had breakdowns from not feeling safe.
  • The new policy could help my mental well-being significantly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 4 2
Year 2 5 2
Year 3 6 2
Year 5 6 3
Year 10 7 3
Year 20 8 3

Inmate (Arizona)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 4

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 9/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Changes in housing policy could reduce conflicts.
  • A calmer environment might make serving time less punishing.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 4
Year 2 6 4
Year 3 7 4
Year 5 7 5
Year 10 8 5
Year 20 8 5

Prison Psychologist (Massachusetts)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Reducing potential for violence significantly impacts mental health.
  • Enforcement will be key to ensuring positive outcomes from this policy.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 9 8
Year 5 9 8
Year 10 9 8
Year 20 9 8

Criminal Justice Advocate (Pennsylvania)

Age: 50 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 1.0 years

Commonness: 13/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The policy is a step towards humane treatment of female inmates.
  • Will watch closely to ensure it's implemented fairly.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 7
Year 2 8 7
Year 3 8 7
Year 5 8 7
Year 10 8 7
Year 20 8 7

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $50000000 (Low: $30000000, High: $70000000)

Year 2: $52000000 (Low: $31000000, High: $74000000)

Year 3: $54100000 (Low: $32000000, High: $78000000)

Year 5: $56300000 (Low: $33000000, High: $82000000)

Year 10: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Year 100: $0 (Low: $0, High: $0)

Key Considerations