Policy Impact Analysis - 117/S/3458

Bill Overview

Title: Thin Blue Line Act

Description: This bill expands the list of statutory aggravating factors in death penalty determinations to also include killing or targeting a law enforcement officer, firefighter, or other first responder.

Sponsors: Sen. Toomey, Patrick [R-PA]

Target Audience

Population: Individuals involved in capital offense cases related to law enforcement or first responder fatalities

Estimated Size: 50000

Reasoning

Simulated Interviews

Police Officer (Dallas, TX)

Age: 34 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 10/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • As a police officer, knowing that there could be greater penalties for targeting us definitely feels like more protection.
  • I think it might make some people think twice before acting against law enforcement.
  • However, I'm not sure this will have a major effect on my day-to-day life.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 7 6
Year 20 6 6

Firefighter (Chicago, IL)

Age: 41 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 3.0 years

Commonness: 12/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I appreciate the added legal protection, but we need more resources on the ground rather than more legal considerations.
  • It's good to know that targeting first responders will have serious consequences.
  • Overall, I doubt it changes much for me personally.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Paramedic (Los Angeles, CA)

Age: 28 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 8

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • Knowing that there are stronger penalties for targeting people like me helps but doesn't change much day to day.
  • I think it's important but not the most pressing issue for us.
  • I'd rather have more staff and better equipment.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 8 8
Year 2 8 8
Year 3 8 8
Year 5 8 8
Year 10 7 7
Year 20 7 7

Public defender (Rural Kentucky)

Age: 55 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy complicates things by adding another layer to capital cases we handle.
  • It could lead to longer trials which add stress to everyone involved, including us as defense attorneys.
  • The administration of justice could get more challenging.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 5
Year 10 4 5
Year 20 4 4

Graduate student (San Francisco, CA)

Age: 23 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 7

Duration of Impact: 0.0 years

Commonness: 8/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I understand the need for security for law enforcement, but this policy seems to push towards harsher penalties rather than addressing root causes.
  • There's a risk this might lead to more executions rather than deterrence.
  • A broader criminal justice reform is what we actually need.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 7 7
Year 2 7 7
Year 3 7 7
Year 5 7 7
Year 10 6 6
Year 20 6 6

Prosecutor (Pittsburgh, PA)

Age: 39 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 7.0 years

Commonness: 7/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This adds to our toolbox in the courtroom for cases involving targeted attacks on first responders.
  • It could help secure harsher sentences, but the overall impact is more procedural than psychological.
  • The deterrence factor might not be as significant as hoped.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Legal analyst (New York, NY)

Age: 29 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 5

Duration of Impact: 4.0 years

Commonness: 6/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • It's an additional aggravating factor that could influence death penalty cases significantly.
  • While it serves justice, there’s concern about the costs and implications of more complex trials.
  • Could see a short-term uptick in associated legal expenses and complications.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 5 5
Year 2 5 5
Year 3 5 5
Year 5 4 4
Year 10 4 4
Year 20 4 4

Retired law enforcement officer (Miami, FL)

Age: 62 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 5.0 years

Commonness: 14/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • I think it's a good measure for current officers and responders, adding security for those on active duty.
  • In retirement, it makes me feel my service is respected, but doesn't impact daily life now.
  • My perspective is that preventative measures and strong community ties are also important.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 6 6
Year 5 6 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 5 5

Mother of a defendant in a death penalty case (Phoenix, AZ)

Age: 45 | Gender: female

Wellbeing Before Policy: 3

Duration of Impact: 10.0 years

Commonness: 2/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • This policy feels threatening as it might lead to harsher outcomes for my son.
  • It's hard to see my child through the lens of this policy, exacerbating our stress.
  • I wish there were avenues for more reform-driven approaches rather than punitive.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 2 3
Year 2 2 3
Year 3 2 3
Year 5 2 2
Year 10 1 2
Year 20 1 1

Judge (Atlanta, GA)

Age: 53 | Gender: male

Wellbeing Before Policy: 6

Duration of Impact: 8.0 years

Commonness: 5/20

Statement of Opinion:

  • The inclusion of this aggravating factor will streamline some aspects of capital trials against defendants targeting first responders.
  • There's the potential for increased legal scrutiny and appeals processes, making outcomes less predictable.
  • Ultimately, it may escalate the complexity and length of these trials.

Wellbeing Over Time (With vs Without Policy)

Year With Policy Without Policy
Year 1 6 6
Year 2 6 6
Year 3 5 6
Year 5 5 5
Year 10 5 5
Year 20 4 4

Cost Estimates

Year 1: $10000000 (Low: $5000000, High: $15000000)

Year 2: $11000000 (Low: $5500000, High: $16500000)

Year 3: $12100000 (Low: $6050000, High: $18150000)

Year 5: $13310000 (Low: $6655000, High: $19965000)

Year 10: $14641000 (Low: $7320500, High: $21961500)

Year 100: $1590510000 (Low: $795255000, High: $2385765000)

Key Considerations